Win rate
70.2%
59 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$23,859
realized $17,198 · unrealized $6,661
Portfolio
$6,661
volume $428,855
Predictions
208
9.1/day · avg $2,062
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 77% +$4,934
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 7¢ | 41¢ | +$1,338 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | Yes | 14¢ | 33¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 15? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 100% +$196
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | win |
Other 38% +$193
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AppLovin acquire TikTok? | No | 50¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will AppLovin acquire TikTok? | Yes | 50¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Gamba Ōsaka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 1.5 | Under | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$420 | win |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Houston Cougars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves | Houston Cougars | 37¢ | 50¢ | +$55 | win |
Sports 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $-5 | loss |
Geopolitics 55% $-66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$219 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30? | Yes | 26¢ | 3¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-259 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 6.5¢ | 41¢ | +$1,338 | $261 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17? | Yes | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | Yes | 14.3¢ | 33¢ | +$38 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$483 | $25,828 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 15? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $106 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $901 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 15? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $670 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $747 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $328 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $157 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16? | No | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $43 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $7,660 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $6,005 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $394 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on April 15? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $4,499 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14? | No | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,783 | $11,833 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on April 14? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $890 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 14? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $920 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 14? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | $7,375 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 14? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 12? | No | 5.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,624 | $85 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $3,124 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 12? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $59 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12? | No | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $7,919 | 11/04/2026 |
| Gamba Ōsaka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 1.5 | Under | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | $-57 | $132 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $94 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-157 | $157 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $39 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | $181 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 10? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $90 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 9? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $70 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $391 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 9? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 8? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $92 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 8? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,425 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $24 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8? | No | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Yes | 53.5¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $268 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8? | No | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $160 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | No | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | +$420 | $80 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7? | No | 32.8¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $72 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $8,423 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $14,933 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 47.3¢ | 7¢ | +$11 | $473 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 7? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $827 | 07/04/2026 |