Outsid3rTrading

Politics 81% +$7,270 $100,746 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-1,160	loss
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$778	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-1,350	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	75¢	84¢	+$425	win
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	89¢	40¢	$-4,520	loss
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-150	loss
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$437	win
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$566	win

Esports 69% +$5,890 $56,499 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5	Under	47¢	0¢	$-2,095	loss
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5	Under	48¢	100¢	+$4,160	win
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5	Under	51¢	100¢	+$1,470	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	Vitality	82¢	100¢	+$1,080	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	Vitality	82¢	100¢	+$112	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	Team Falcons	71¢	0¢	$-5,688	loss
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffs	Wildcard	53¢	100¢	+$1,410	win
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	GAM Esports	46¢	0¢	$-1,380	loss
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	15¢	0¢	$-750	loss
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 148.5	Under	48¢	0¢	$-1,440	loss

Crypto 60% +$3,582 $14,805 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	No	64¢	100¢	+$1,240	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-115	loss
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)	Jackson State Tigers	45¢	0¢	$-1,800	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	70¢	100¢	+$3,350	win
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	Yes	27¢	100¢	+$907	win

Elections 100% +$1,163 $526,601 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	77¢	84¢	+$80	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	84¢	84¢	+$50	win
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$875	win
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$23	win

Weather 50% +$210 $2,790 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-2.5)	Villanova Wildcats	49¢	0¢	$-1,470	loss
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 149.5	Over	44¢	100¢	+$1,680	win

Culture 67% $-241 $6,420 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	26¢	0¢	$-700	loss
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	No	80¢	100¢	+$394	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$64	win

Finance 0% $-2,150 $2,150 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	No	55¢	0¢	$-550	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-1,600	loss

Economy 25% $-2,520 $10,020 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$390	win
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State	Mississippi State	58¢	0¢	$-1,450	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-1,000	loss

Tech 0% $-2,800 $2,800 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-2,800	loss

Sports 51% $-14,289 $1,321,547 vol · 638 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	96¢	96¢	+$30	win
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	15¢	15¢	$-129	loss
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	86¢	99¢	+$40	win
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	18¢	40¢	+$251	win
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-59	loss
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)	Gauge Young	58¢	58¢	+$30	win
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tanner Boser	41¢	0¢	$-2,430	loss
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)	Robert Valentin	60¢	60¢	+$30	win
Warriors vs. Suns	Suns	58¢	100¢	+$2,520	win
Magic vs. Celtics	Celtics	15¢	100¢	+$8,500	win

Other 51% $-21,123 $859,230 vol · 357 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	No	16¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	61¢	60¢	+$32	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	83¢	84¢	$-450	loss
Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	No	99¢	93¢	$-342	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	95¢	+$28	win
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$400	win
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	72¢	72¢	+$63	win
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?	No	78¢	100¢	+$2,640	win
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$3,190	win
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	95¢	96¢	+$29	win

Geopolitics 70% $-51,017 $427,148 vol · 63 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	95¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	62¢	100¢	$-548	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	56¢	70¢	+$1,446	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	74¢	92¢	+$1,750	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	75¢	92¢	+$1,325	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	89¢	99¢	+$1,835	win
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5	Over	47¢	100¢	+$3,180	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$1,521	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	86¢	100¢	+$2,767	win