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0xF1C185915beaB6AE9B8fEd3fF05646706Cc61BeB-1772280735204
0xf1c185915beab6ae9b8fed3ff05646706cc61beb · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
87.4%
801 W / 116 L
Total PnL
$-3,412
realized $-6,991 · unrealized $3,579
Portfolio
$3,579
volume $181,870
Predictions
1,788
36.5/day · avg $102
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 50% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5 | Under | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5 | Under | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Esports 0% $-41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Other 85% $-87
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will March 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| North Korea missile test/launch by March 31? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 20? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia | Japan | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
Tech 0% $-97
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10? | Yes | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Mentions 70% $-175
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Weather 88% $-956
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 40°F or higher on April 20? | Yes | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C or below on April 20? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or higher on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 57°F or below on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 75% $-2,335
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,704 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or below on April 18? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $27 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C or below on April 18? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $131 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 18? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $79 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 18? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $69 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $58 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $51 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $97 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 18? | No | 93.8¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | $213 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $182 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $119 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $96 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $88 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 18? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $78 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $70 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 18? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $55 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 18? | No | 97.2¢ | 59¢ | $-21 | $53 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $49 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 18? | No | 95.7¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $38 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 18? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $39 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on April 18? | No | 95.6¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $38 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 18? | No | 92.0¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | $29 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 18? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $29 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on April 18? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 18? | No | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 18? | No | 95.0¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 17? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $128 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 17? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 17? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 17? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 17? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $106 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 17? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $114 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $88 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $91 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $101 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 17? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $108 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 17? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |