0xF1ADDd3C7e01dF23C3258EC690BBEf8896546979-1774575209559

Other 48% +$6,309 $111,978 vol · 488 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	73¢	86¢	+$7	win
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	49¢	53¢	+$8	win
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	23¢	24¢	+$1	win
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	No	91¢	96¢	+$2	win
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	18¢	40¢	+$82	win
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	Yes	8¢	1¢	$-21	loss
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	No	23¢	14¢	+$2	win
Will Fijian Drua win?	No	50¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Western Force win?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-185	loss

Esports 49% +$3,483 $43,546 vol · 182 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	83¢	100¢	+$35	win
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	14¢	0¢	$-53	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	78¢	0¢	$-700	loss
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Aurora Gaming	66¢	100¢	+$365	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Passion UA	31¢	0¢	$-367	loss
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Team Liquid	66¢	0¢	$-560	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Natus Vincere	55¢	0¢	$-600	loss
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	53¢	100¢	+$532	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	G2	10¢	0¢	$-54	loss
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Weibo Gaming	16¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Geopolitics 55% +$1,712 $7,844 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	39¢	78¢	+$113	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	57¢	82¢	+$33	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	74¢	94¢	+$156	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	83¢	99¢	+$40	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	9¢	100¢	+$1,555	win
Senators vs. Devils	Devils	26¢	100¢	+$367	win
Senators vs. Devils	Senators	63¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Lightning vs. Senators	Senators	75¢	100¢	+$202	win
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5	Under	52¢	0¢	$-449	loss
Lightning vs. Senators	Lightning	43¢	0¢	$-600	loss

Weather 64% +$758 $2,275 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	51¢	79¢	+$14	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?	No	48¢	100¢	+$28	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5	Under	52¢	0¢	$-156	loss
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)	Kansas Jayhawks	50¢	100¢	+$596	win
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?	Yes	11¢	100¢	+$302	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?	No	40¢	100¢	+$92	win
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)	Miami Hurricanes	50¢	100¢	+$190	win
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)	Missouri Tigers	48¢	0¢	$-212	loss
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)	Northern Iowa Panthers	47¢	0¢	$-172	loss

Elections 46% +$706 $8,676 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3¢	4¢	+$40	win
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	50¢	44¢	$-34	loss
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	37¢	34¢	$-4	loss
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	69¢	66¢	$-20	loss
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	36¢	37¢	+$1	win
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	82¢	92¢	+$143	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$62	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	86¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	69¢	0¢	$-198	loss

Politics 67% +$182 $790 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	26¢	28¢	+$46	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	63¢	60¢	$-4	loss
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	34¢	30¢	$-4	loss
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris	Aleksandar Vukic	73¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	No	44¢	100¢	+$69	win
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$34	win

Crypto 80% +$156 $2,906 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	96¢	99¢	+$22	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	No	41¢	0¢	$-77	loss

Culture 100% +$92 $290 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$74	win
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	79¢	100¢	+$19	win

Sports 52% $-1,152 $215,099 vol · 882 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	43¢	44¢	+$4	win
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	85¢	85¢	+$0	win
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	86¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	6¢	6¢	+$3	win
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	89¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	21¢	20¢	$-17	loss
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)	Mitch Raposo	37¢	50¢	+$9	win
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	63¢	100¢	+$154	win
Canucks vs. Oilers	Oilers	81¢	100¢	+$76	win
Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	58¢	100¢	+$69	win