Win rate
35.1%
27 W / 50 L
Total PnL
$6
realized $-651 · unrealized $656
Portfolio
$656
volume $248,657
Predictions
475
12.1/day · avg $523
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
Tech 100% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta (META) finish week of April 6 above $530? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 13? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Finance 100% +$45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Esports 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | Paper Rex | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 33% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 6% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Iowa Hawkeyes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 9% $-95
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $50? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 70% $-99
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in March 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta (META) finish week of April 6 above $530? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $309 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $87 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in March 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $102 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026? | No | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $162 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $191 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $2,634 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $737 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $698 | 31/03/2026 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Iowa Hawkeyes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $240 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 18/03/2026 |
| Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | Paper Rex | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $86 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 13? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $47 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $201 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $87 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $205 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $102 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $102 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $102 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $50? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $422 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $219 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $254 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $219 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $420 | 28/11/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 14/11/2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $202 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $249 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $396 | 28/10/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $170 | 28/10/2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20? | No | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $210 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $210 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $887 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $726 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $196 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $327 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $468 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $470 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $486 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $543 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $578 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $678 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $690 | 16/05/2026 |