Dreamwalker

Other 81% +$51,915 $1,779,140 vol · 1272 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	42¢	54¢	+$255	win
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	93¢	98¢	+$1	win
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	8¢	7¢	+$3	win
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	70¢	0¢	+$92	win
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	74¢	93¢	+$122	win
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	15¢	28¢	+$90	win
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	30¢	100¢	+$60	win
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	21¢	44¢	+$39	win
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	20¢	28¢	+$23	win
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	31¢	91¢	+$18	win

Crypto 75% +$25,371 $179,397 vol · 233 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	34¢	40¢	+$29	win
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	17¢	0¢	+$145	win
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	68¢	50¢	$-8	loss
USDE depeg by December 31?	Yes	10¢	15¢	+$43	win
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 in 2026?	No	31¢	0¢	+$70	win
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	5¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	8¢	68¢	+$55	win
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 in 2026?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	73¢	90¢	+$52	win

Geopolitics 65% +$3,377 $129,042 vol · 163 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	42¢	0¢	+$302	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	23¢	0¢	+$104	win
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	80¢	82¢	+$122	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	40¢	0¢	+$40	win
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	48¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$2	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	9¢	+$0	—
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	50¢	91¢	+$0	—
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	50¢	90¢	+$0	—

Politics 59% +$1,048 $48,845 vol · 86 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	73¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	27¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	50¢	88¢	+$0	—
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	12¢	+$0	—
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	50¢	84¢	+$0	—
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	16¢	+$0	—
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	50¢	10¢	$-1,620	loss
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	50¢	90¢	+$1,620	win

Tech 57% +$844 $16,405 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	81¢	82¢	+$16	win
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	94¢	27¢	$-88	loss
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 27?	Down	96¢	100¢	$-184	loss
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 26?	Down	37¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on February 24?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on February 18?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 17?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$31	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 17?	No	38¢	100¢	+$12	win
Meta (META) Up or Down on February 11?	Down	86¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on February 10?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Elections 47% +$229 $114,630 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	97¢	98¢	$-6	loss
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	60¢	+$0	—
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	40¢	+$0	—
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-258	loss
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	94¢	100¢	$-474	loss
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	No	61¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	No	48¢	100¢	+$-0	—
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	89¢	100¢	$-841	loss
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-1,234	loss

Economy 50% $-17 $4,513 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?	No	65¢	100¢	+$5	win
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	No	22¢	0¢	+$14	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	35¢	0¢	+$12	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?	No	94¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Culture 37% $-87 $4,900 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	82¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	29¢	100¢	$-4	loss
China bans US films in April?	No	69¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "Wicked" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?	No	92¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "In the Shadow of the Cypress" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?	No	74¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-176	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-142	loss

Esports 50% $-163 $2,722 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-27	loss
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner	Top Esports	39¢	0¢	$-161	loss
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	99¢	100¢	+$19	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	87¢	100¢	+$6	win

Weather 40% $-165 $476 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 29?	Yes	87¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 29?	No	88¢	100¢	$-32	loss
Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?	No	36¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 17?	No	57¢	0¢	$-117	loss
Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win

Sports 53% $-234 $11,758 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50¢	17¢	+$0	—
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	50¢	83¢	+$0	—
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)	Pacers	47¢	100¢	+$1	win
Spread: Magic (-14.5)	Magic	49¢	100¢	+$1	win
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)	Kings	48¢	100¢	+$0	—
Suns vs. Lakers	Suns	62¢	0¢	+$0	—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	47¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5	Over	50¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?	Yes	14¢	100¢	+$213	win
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?	No	90¢	0¢	$-240	loss

Finance 60% $-366 $3,314 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$133	win
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	21¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?	Up	55¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-3	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?	Up	49¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?	Down	54¢	0¢	$-12	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?	Up	4¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Circle IPO in 2025?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$12	win
Kraken IPO in 2025?	No	88¢	100¢	+$7	win

Mentions 29% $-2,504 $5,423 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	No	44¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-494	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1,993	loss
Will Shayne say "Mention" during 60 Minutes?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Kanye tweet 100-199 times February 20-28?	No	90¢	0¢	$-2	loss