yen4u

Geopolitics 76% +$29,211 $302,130 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	31¢	3¢	+$8	win
Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	69¢	0¢	$-246	loss
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	38¢	0¢	$-668	loss
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	8¢	8¢	$-17	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	71¢	100¢	+$494	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 73% +$5,361 $138,903 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7¢	6¢	$-60	loss
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	97¢	97¢	+$45	win
Will Trump name "Leo XIV" or "Pope" in April?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$15	win
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$51	win
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?	No	50¢	39¢	$-11	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	98¢	100¢	+$64	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-1,057	loss
Will Hegseth say "This President" during press conference?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	No	57¢	0¢	$-159	loss

Crypto 100% +$956 $1,742 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hegseth say "Ally" during press conference?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Hegseth's remarks not air?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$955	win

Elections 29% +$81 $162,507 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?	No	99¢	100¢	$-48	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?	No	67¢	100¢	$-74	loss

Culture 100% +$12 $11,418 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$12	win

Tech 100% +$7 $4,068 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 13?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Sports 100% +$1 $550 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will PSV Eindhoven win Eredivisie?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Other 86% $-175 $62,425 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	35¢	55¢	+$2,417	win
Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$20	win
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	10¢	64¢	+$148	win
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi?	No	97¢	99¢	+$7	win
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	98¢	100¢	$-1,278	loss
Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$16	win
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	98¢	97¢	$-35	loss
Will Britney win at Hustler Casino on Friday?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win