Win rate
20.4%
22 W / 86 L
Total PnL
$16,433
realized $14,142 · unrealized $2,291
Portfolio
$2,291
volume $1,378,738
Predictions
130
0.7/day · avg $10,606
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 33% +$21,043
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-505 | loss |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-579 | loss |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | loss |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Patriots | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$613 | win |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | 49ers | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Lakers | Lakers | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$266 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors | Trail Blazers | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Chargers vs. Broncos | Chargers | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Demoor | 12¢ | 100¢ | +$21,942 | win |
Other 10% +$10,803
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | loss |
| Will the US strike Yemen next? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
| Stefon Diggs suspended this season? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$14,637 | win |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-425 | loss |
| U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-220 | loss |
| Rice vs. Texas State | Rice | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
Culture 0% $-110
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
Politics 12% $-2,320
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,190 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-448 | loss |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-163 | loss |
| Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | loss |
| Will Trump's remarks in Rome, GA not air? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Black History Month reception? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-671 | loss |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during CNBC interview? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
Crypto 32% $-5,999
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Down | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | Down | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Down | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$212 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | Up | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Down | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
Geopolitics 14% $-8,780
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | loss |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-442 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-967 | loss |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 15¢ | $-172 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,860 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-1,760 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Will Iran strike Qatar in March? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 8¢ | 100¢ | +$2,933 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-5,928 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,860 | $1,902 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Down | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | No | 58.1¢ | 0¢ | +$1,205 | $2,132 | 31/03/2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $65 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $1,004 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10? | No | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | $186 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $-448 | $454 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | No | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,760 | $1,760 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $78 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more? | No | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $138 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar in March? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $286 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-163 | $180 | 06/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 8.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2,933 | $2,621 | 28/02/2026 |
| Stefon Diggs suspended this season? | Yes | 17.3¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $76 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-5,928 | $275 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | $173 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Trump's remarks in Rome, GA not air? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $43 | 19/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Black History Month reception? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-671 | $671 | 18/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | $80 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 15.3¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $73 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 28.7¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Down | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$212 | $100 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | Up | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | $84 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Down | 34.2¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $54 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | Down | 28.7¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $86 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Down | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-505 | $679 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? | No | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-579 | $685 | 15/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14,637 | $20,606 | 14/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $-425 | $1,580 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Down | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-360 | $360 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $160 | 08/02/2026 |
| U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $45 | 31/01/2026 |
| Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $377 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $181 | 31/01/2026 |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 100¢ | $-164 | $523 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-858 | $901 | 31/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | Up | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | $-324 | $324 | 27/01/2026 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during CNBC interview? | No | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 21/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 85.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,121 | $1,121 | 21/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,483 | $1,483 | 21/01/2026 |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Patriots | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$613 | $1,000 | 18/01/2026 |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | 49ers | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 18/01/2026 |