0xf040...d11f

Geopolitics 73% +$74 $5,213 vol · 89 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	81¢	81¢	+$0	win
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	84¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	47¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	66¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	45¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	58¢	78¢	+$20	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	68¢	81¢	+$3	win

Politics 62% +$38 $1,658 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	59¢	79¢	+$7	win
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	89¢	90¢	+$2	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	83¢	84¢	$-0	loss
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	92¢	91¢	$-1	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	82¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	90¢	92¢	+$1	win
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	87¢	87¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?	No	92¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?	No	87¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	90¢	92¢	+$0	win

Other 64% +$19 $3,100 vol · 59 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	96¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	63¢	60¢	$-2	loss
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	win
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	39¢	1¢	$-2	loss
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	84¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	87¢	88¢	+$1	win
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	63¢	34¢	$-18	loss
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	65¢	66¢	+$0	win

Crypto 71% +$17 $4,891 vol · 134 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	94¢	88¢	$-2	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 13-19?	No	56¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 13-19?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 20?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 18?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 18?	No	62¢	2¢	$-22	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 16?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	No	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 15?	No	73¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Sports 100% +$11 $54 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	No	69¢	97¢	+$3	win
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Rockets	69¢	100¢	+$9	win

Economy 100% +$1 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	No	71¢	74¢	+$1	win

Esports 60% $-6 $297 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage	EYEBALLERS	36¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Counter-Strike: Charrados FC vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	Charrados FC	49¢	50¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: desempleHADAS vs MAGICOS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	desempleHADAS	51¢	50¢	$-0	loss
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs maquinas (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A	maquinas	49¢	50¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: WAZABI vs maquinas (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A	WAZABI	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs	Favbet	59¢	100¢	+$17	win
Counter-Strike: WATERMELON vs Flame Sharks (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage	Flame Sharks	64¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner	Team Liquid	59¢	100¢	+$24	win
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs	Karmine Corp	56¢	0¢	$-65	loss

Elections 60% $-52 $3,461 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	96¢	97¢	+$0	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	15¢	14¢	+$2	win
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	86¢	88¢	+$1	win
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	92¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	86¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	96¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	48¢	40¢	+$1	win
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?	No	92¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	87¢	86¢	$-1	loss

Weather 33% $-54 $80 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 14?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 14?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-20	loss