Win rate
30.8%
231 W / 519 L
Total PnL
$-1,652
realized $-4,383 · unrealized $2,731
Portfolio
$2,731
volume $2,133,676
Predictions
473
2.8/day · avg $4,511
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 23% +$14,525
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-660 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$103 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$1,207 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$1,783 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$1,605 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-688 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$691 | win |
Geopolitics 75% +$1,194
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$236 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,116 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$1,611 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$463 | win |
Other 25% $-2,608
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$510 | win |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | loss |
Crypto 65% $-11,804
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Up | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$706 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-700 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-800 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-800 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-660 | $659 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 100¢ | +$855 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | +$103 | $212 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | +$1,207 | $204 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 29.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,783 | $825 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 56.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,605 | $2,134 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | $-688 | $688 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | $92 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | $173 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | +$691 | $229 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $-182 | $182 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 29.8¢ | 100¢ | +$236 | $1,000 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | $91 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | $181 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,116 | $1,116 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$212 | $1,760 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$348 | $459 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,172 | $3,906 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | +$170 | $395 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | $44 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 25.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $58 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 17.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,564 | $531 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 28.8¢ | 0¢ | +$1,366 | $1,009 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $152 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $292 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-351 | $483 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | $-549 | $550 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $-559 | $559 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 65.6¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $1,000 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 51.2¢ | 0¢ | $-518 | $797 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | Yes | 44.9¢ | 100¢ | +$224 | $1,000 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $60 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,015 | $1,601 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | +$339 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | +$88 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,000 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |