macrosteaks

Politics 67% +$27,622 $478,835 vol · 850 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	9¢	8¢	$-26	loss
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	93¢	98¢	+$123	win
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	11¢	13¢	+$6	win
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	13¢	8¢	$-22	loss
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	Yes	73¢	82¢	+$11	win
Will Janak Joshi be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	88¢	99¢	+$10	win
Will Dave Young be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	98¢	98¢	+$0	win
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	82¢	70¢	$-5	loss
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	81¢	96¢	+$26	win
Will Kristi Noem be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?	No	90¢	98¢	+$5	win

Sports 69% +$15,430 $676,561 vol · 970 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	94¢	95¢	+$3	win
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	3¢	1¢	$-38	loss
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	34¢	36¢	+$8	win
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	18¢	7¢	$-554	loss
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	91¢	99¢	+$1,019	win
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	16¢	2¢	+$0	win
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-104	loss
Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	No	2¢	1¢	$-17	loss
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?	No	93¢	95¢	+$0	win

Finance 79% +$11,818 $27,101 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Will FedEx say "Guidance" during earnings call?	No	19¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will Nike say "Consumer Demand" during earnings call?	No	73¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Nike say "Sabrina" during earnings call?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Broadcom say "Tomahawk 6" during earnings call?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	87¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Costco say "Kirkland" during earnings call?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?	No	67¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Walmart say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	55¢	0¢	$-220	loss

Culture 74% +$4,761 $342,714 vol · 845 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "DIGIMON BEATBREAK" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	63¢	88¢	+$41	win
Will "SPY x FAMILY Season 3" win Best Comedy Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	74¢	78¢	+$33	win
Will "Clevatess" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	91¢	99¢	+$4	win
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	85¢	91¢	+$3	win
Will "UN-APEX" by TK from Ling Tosite Sigure (Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-) win Best Anime Ending Sequence at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	77¢	80¢	+$4	win
Will "Kaiju No. 8 Season 2" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	92¢	73¢	$-6	loss
Will "My Dress-Up Darling Season 2" win Best Character Design at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	81¢	88¢	+$5	win
Will "Jinshi (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2)" win Best Anime Supporting Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	83¢	86¢	+$2	win
Will "ReawakeR (feat. Felix of Stray Kids)" by LiSA (Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	90¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	85¢	89¢	+$2	win

Tech 59% +$612 $58,915 vol · 71 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	Yes	73¢	76¢	+$14	win
Will MrBeast say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next video?	No	73¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	Yes	40¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	No	66¢	0¢	$-60	loss
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Admiral Vladivostok	Admiral Vladivostok	15¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will "Night Terror - Dream Theater" win Best Metal Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	85¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Kathy Hochul say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the State of the State address?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Tramell Tillman (Severance) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Jensen Huang say "Elon" or "Musk" during NVIDIA keynote?	No	73¢	0¢	$-382	loss

Geopolitics 53% +$491 $15,607 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?	No	92¢	96¢	+$5	win
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	5¢	4¢	$-4	loss
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	5¢	8¢	+$31	win
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-4	loss
Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$61	win
Wild vs. Senators	Wild	49¢	100¢	+$75	win
Sabres vs. Senators	Sabres	49¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	60¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will Bernie Sanders say "Iran" at the rally on Saturday?	No	25¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?	No	78¢	100¢	+$83	win

Crypto 72% $-89 $38,130 vol · 64 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	3¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	89¢	93¢	+$63	win
Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?	Yes	17¢	20¢	+$7	win
Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?	No	54¢	0¢	$-86	loss
Miami Open: Solana Sierra vs Jaqueline Cristian	Jaqueline Cristian	51¢	50¢	$-10	loss
Will Gwyneth Paltrow win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	97¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$19	win
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	95¢	100¢	+$8	win
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Netherlands	Venezuela	68¢	100¢	+$31	win

Mentions 62% $-99 $1,088 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kevin Spacey be named in the Epstein survivors' list?	No	79¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bill Gates be named in the Epstein survivors' list?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-169	loss

Weather 55% $-203 $2,269 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers	Auburn Tigers	65¢	100¢	+$72	win
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Georgetown Hoyas vs. St. John's Red Storm (W)	St. Johns Red Storm	59¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes	Miami Hurricanes	76¢	100¢	+$26	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. DePaul Blue Demons	St. Johns Red Storm	81¢	100¢	+$8	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcats	Villanova Wildcats	49¢	0¢	$-45	loss
South Florida Bulls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	58¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes (W)	Louisville Cardinals	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$30	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?	No	39¢	0¢	$-145	loss

Other 64% $-2,825 $811,390 vol · 1553 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	17¢	0¢	$-145	loss
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-401	loss
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	44¢	100¢	+$64	win
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	31¢	0¢	+$25	win
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-155	loss
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	No	62¢	0¢	$-783	loss
Will Igor Tudor be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$21	win
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	No	4¢	0¢	+$27	win
Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	5¢	5¢	+$3	win
Will Kieran McKenna be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	93¢	97¢	+$7	win

Esports 43% $-4,975 $37,764 vol · 133 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: REBORN vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B	Galatasaray Esports	58¢	36¢	$-22	loss
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Fnatic	85¢	86¢	+$3	win
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	31¢	30¢	$-1	loss
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	Zena Esports	16¢	0¢	$-37	loss
LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	Zena Esports	14¢	8¢	$-8	loss
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	85¢	100¢	+$36	win
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	TEC Esports	43¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Valorant: Barça eSports vs DNSTY (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs	Barça eSports	64¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	Wolves Esports	29¢	0¢	$-318	loss
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	MVK Esports	45¢	0¢	$-22	loss

Economy 43% $-9,798 $44,304 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Alvark Tokyo vs. Akita Northern Happinets	Alvark Tokyo	90¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?	No	77¢	0¢	$-135	loss
US recession in 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$280	win
US recession in 2025?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-9,826	loss
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	Texas Southern Tigers	83¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	No	89¢	100¢	+$441	win
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?	No	39¢	0¢	$-557	loss

Elections 63% $-10,344 $202,670 vol · 237 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	16¢	29¢	+$328	win
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	25¢	30¢	+$28	win
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	58¢	63¢	+$8	win
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	70¢	72¢	+$54	win
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	37¢	26¢	$-24	loss
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	70¢	64¢	$-59	loss
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	No	38¢	48¢	+$6	win
Will Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?	No	83¢	88¢	+$6	win
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	28¢	32¢	+$5	win