Win rate
52.9%
18 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$46
realized $-843 · unrealized $889
Portfolio
$889
volume $202,095
Predictions
50
1.9/day · avg $4,042
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 57% +$22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 78¢ | 75¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 94¢ | 99¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | +$13 | win |
Other 38% +$22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Elections 62% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 58¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 77¢ | 77¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 75% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37¢ | 39¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 4¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $125 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,271 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $3,517 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,191 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $2,273 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 4.4¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | $92 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | $81 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 3¢ | +$24 | $78 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | $35 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,273 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.1¢ | 88¢ | $-4 | $4,460 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 77.1¢ | 77¢ | +$3 | $470 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,773 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 2¢ | +$13 | $337 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,276 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 77.9¢ | 75¢ | +$14 | $2,231 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | $1,737 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.7¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $885 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 94.5¢ | 99¢ | $-8 | $1,782 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.9¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $889 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 84.9¢ | 85¢ | +$1 | $584 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | $80 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 92.2¢ | 93¢ | +$4 | $974 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $169 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83.8¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $886 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90.0¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $889 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | $49 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 87.6¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | $889 | 20/09/2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 97.2¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $971 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,765 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $888 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 13.2¢ | 58¢ | $-5 | $124 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91.8¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $885 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.6¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $972 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 6¢ | +$6 | $34 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17.6¢ | 19¢ | +$4 | $344 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 1¢ | +$2 | $60 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.5¢ | 17¢ | +$2 | $323 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.3¢ | 39¢ | +$1 | $351 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $775 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $972 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,853 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $52 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $889 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.0¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $972 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $31 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 96.6¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $2,289 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $53 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $157 | 07/11/2028 |