Chims

Other 92% +$19,960 $909,041 vol · 589 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$796	win
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	82¢	100¢	+$194	win
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$303	win
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$133	win
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$91	win
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	70¢	76¢	+$90	win
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	No	83¢	92¢	+$5	win
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	43¢	40¢	+$67	win
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	50¢	93¢	+$61	win
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?	No	88¢	100¢	+$46	win

Geopolitics 90% +$11,513 $743,617 vol · 444 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	55¢	74¢	+$92	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	44¢	0¢	+$7	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	46¢	0¢	+$0	win
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	67¢	86¢	+$248	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	20¢	0¢	+$184	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	62¢	82¢	+$169	win
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	28¢	0¢	+$34	win
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	80¢	88¢	+$2	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	66¢	70¢	+$48	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	32¢	68¢	+$41	win

Politics 88% +$10,852 $708,270 vol · 615 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	No	74¢	78¢	+$7	win
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	96¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	50¢	41¢	+$6	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	81¢	84¢	+$15	win
Will Donald Trump visit Tennessee in 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	24¢	0¢	+$6	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	68¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-19	loss

Elections 89% +$6,192 $199,545 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	No	93¢	94¢	$-66	loss
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-618	loss
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	71¢	0¢	$-813	loss
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$144	win
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 165 and 179 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3,137	win

Sports 90% +$3,543 $140,291 vol · 302 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	89¢	99¢	+$290	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	68¢	1¢	$-103	loss
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	5¢	1¢	$-37	loss
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	75¢	95¢	+$213	win
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	51¢	65¢	+$68	win
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	55¢	72¢	+$13	win
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	76¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$150	win
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-5	loss

Finance 69% +$1,304 $19,072 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	55¢	70¢	+$18	win
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-3	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?	Down	98¢	100¢	+$14	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?	Down	86¢	0¢	$-213	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?	Up	72¢	0¢	$-102	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Economy 89% +$1,099 $91,749 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	48¢	4¢	+$8	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-150	loss
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?	No	99¢	100¢	+$14	win
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$138	win
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	66¢	66¢	+$45	win

Tech 92% +$299 $25,126 vol · 59 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	60¢	92¢	+$68	win
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-18	loss
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$5	win
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?	Yes	83¢	92¢	+$13	win
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?	No	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$4	win

Weather 75% +$26 $59,786 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	93¢	96¢	+$1	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$13	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	94¢	0¢	+$4	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 17?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?	No	99¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$3	win

Mentions 100% +$25 $7,080 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?	No	100¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Crypto 91% $-1,641 $130,947 vol · 127 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	62¢	68¢	+$25	win
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?	No	67¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	87¢	100¢	+$62	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	99¢	0¢	$-3,370	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	85¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 5?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	96¢	100¢	+$28	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	91¢	100¢	+$13	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	80¢	100¢	+$50	win

Culture 81% $-3,810 $53,387 vol · 62 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Drake release a new song in 2026?	Yes	100¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	No	86¢	100¢	+$87	win
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	94¢	100¢	+$248	win
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-963	loss
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win