Kayn

Other 43% +$260 $104,368 vol · 198 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	53¢	100¢	$-664	loss
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	4¢	0¢	$-501	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-395	loss
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Ninjas in Pyjamas	26¢	43¢	+$313	win
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	34¢	0¢	$-340	loss
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	35¢	36¢	$-1	loss
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	LOUD	34¢	0¢	$-74	loss

Geopolitics 64% +$138 $25,359 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Panthers vs. Senators	Senators	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Lightning vs. Senators	Lightning	43¢	0¢	+$2	win
Hurricanes vs. Senators	Senators	100¢	100¢	+$13	win
Senators vs. Capitals	Senators	56¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Sharks vs. Senators	Sharks	59¢	0¢	$-67	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-21	loss
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	30¢	100¢	$-33	loss
Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	100¢	100¢	+$24	win
Senators vs. Red Wings	Red Wings	36¢	100¢	+$270	win

Economy 67% +$45 $1,885 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-18	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$47	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$16	win

Tech 86% +$18 $5,995 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	No	24¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Finance 25% $-19 $321 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	Up	27¢	0¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27?	Down	63¢	100¢	$-1	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27?	Up	38¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Politics 75% $-133 $2,775 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?	No	13¢	0¢	$-114	loss
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Esports 37% $-224 $49,965 vol · 151 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	22¢	100¢	+$1,193	win
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Top Esports	39¢	0¢	$-102	loss
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	JD Gaming	25¢	100¢	$-59	loss
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Bilibili Gaming	47¢	0¢	$-100	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	37¢	100¢	+$862	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	38¢	100¢	+$115	win
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LNG Esports	38¢	0¢	$-80	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	73¢	100¢	+$278	win
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	16¢	100¢	+$379	win
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	35¢	0¢	$-103	loss

Crypto 87% $-1,916 $1,207,799 vol · 447 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Solana reach $95 on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?	No	0¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on April 14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 48% $-11,098 $593,673 vol · 853 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	43¢	42¢	$-1	loss
Sharks vs. Jets	Sharks	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Kings vs. Flames	Kings	58¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Ducks vs. Predators	Predators	39¢	0¢	$-195	loss
Kraken vs. Avalanche	Kraken	33¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Hornets vs. Magic	Hornets	62¢	60¢	$-2	loss
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	25¢	100¢	+$212	win
Sharks vs. Blackhawks	Blackhawks	48¢	100¢	+$84	win
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	67¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Kraken vs. Golden Knights	Kraken	31¢	0¢	$-100	loss