Win rate
21.2%
18 W / 67 L
Total PnL
$-1,468
realized $-2,206 · unrealized $738
Portfolio
$738
volume $253,858
Predictions
95
2.0/day · avg $2,672
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 88% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Elections 0% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
Other 21% $-54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5) | Ohio State Buckeyes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$286 | win |
| Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
| Will AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
Sports 4% $-1,454
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Kraken vs. Panthers | Kraken | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-1,334 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-147 | loss |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 | Under | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Panthers | Kraken | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,334 | $1,334 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $115 | 20/03/2026 |
| Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5) | Ohio State Buckeyes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $126 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,888 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $3,279 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | +$286 | $76 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $121 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | No | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $104 | 07/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-147 | $147 | 07/03/2026 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 | Under | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $77 | 05/03/2026 |
| Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $182 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $94 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $43 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $846 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $883 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,474 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,440 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,341 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,080 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $3,175 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $744 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $793 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $837 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $929 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $767 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $893 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,240 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,048 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,232 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,336 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,269 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $4,189 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $2,470 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $738 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,692 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,796 | 20/07/2026 |