Win rate
51.9%
27 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$463
realized $-3,573 · unrealized $4,036
Portfolio
$4,036
volume $167,016
Predictions
116
1.4/day · avg $1,440
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 67% +$312
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$286 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-251 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Other 59% +$159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | win |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 50% +$147
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass? | No | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | win |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$77 | win |
| Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 84¢ | 74¢ | $-6 | loss |
Culture 100% +$61
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
Esports 50% +$34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | FURIA Esports | 77¢ | 76¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | NRG | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
Elections 33% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
Tech 67% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Sports 17% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
Geopolitics 25% $-91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 72.4¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $100 | 18/02/2026 |
| Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | NRG | 43.2¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $30 | 16/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $1,920 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | +$56 | $149 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $500 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 56.4¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/02/2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $500 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $500 | 31/01/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,000 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $272 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $30 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | $-48 | $350 | 20/01/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 79.6¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $400 | 06/01/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $1,000 | 06/01/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,277 | 06/01/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $1,000 | 06/01/2026 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | $1,540 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $4,223 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 84.0¢ | 74¢ | $-6 | $520 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31? | No | 88.8¢ | 100¢ | $-52 | $1,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $69 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | Yes | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $394 | 30/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | No | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $358 | 16/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | No | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $250 | 16/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | Yes | 47.6¢ | 100¢ | +$286 | $402 | 12/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | $1,051 | 12/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | No | 75.9¢ | 0¢ | $-251 | $853 | 12/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $1,000 | 09/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $350 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | No | 67.9¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | FURIA Esports | 77.0¢ | 76¢ | $-6 | $450 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.2¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $134 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11.2¢ | 11¢ | $-2 | $93 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8.9¢ | 9¢ | $-0 | $74 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17.4¢ | 17¢ | $-2 | $144 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6.8¢ | 7¢ | +$2 | $56 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 5¢ | $-1 | $26 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 94.0¢ | 94¢ | $-3 | $4,999 | 04/10/2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/01/2027 |
| Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass? | No | 36.9¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | $117 | 01/01/2027 |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $410 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 88.9¢ | 92¢ | +$77 | $1,956 | 01/01/2027 |
| Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $600 | 01/01/2027 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,904 | 01/01/2027 |