Win rate
97.3%
1513 W / 42 L
Total PnL
$752
realized $-14,153 · unrealized $14,905
Portfolio
$14,905
volume $1,089,391
Predictions
1,826
36.3/day · avg $597
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 99% +$560
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 83% +$35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 14 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 13 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 24? | Down | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 23? | Down | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 23? | Up | 38¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
Finance 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 23? | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Politics 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | No | 86¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 39¢ | 56¢ | $-5 | loss |
Elections 33% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 32¢ | 28¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | No | 67¢ | 72¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 71¢ | 74¢ | $-0 | loss |
Tech 29% $-155
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of February? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 24? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on February 24? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on February 24? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on February 23? | No | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 23? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 23? | Down | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 23? | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 23? | Up | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-158
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Down | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4AM ET | Up | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6AM ET | Up | 30¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4AM ET | Down | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6AM ET | Down | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ET | Up | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 17? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $205 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,117 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,877 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $959 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $799 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $719 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $480 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $12,423 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,285 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $441 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | $20,997 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $7,435 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $248 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,398 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $213 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,945 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,858 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,689 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,668 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,661 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on April 15? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,369 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,101 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $824 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or higher on April 15? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $164 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $497 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $497 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $419 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $382 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $327 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $321 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $298 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $234 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $233 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $196 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $105 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $76 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $53 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $9,150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $2,341 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 15? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $2,708 | 15/04/2026 |