rocky42018

Esports 53% +$3,995 $72,269 vol · 277 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5	Under	54¢	55¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs	MIBR Academy	46¢	100¢	+$87	win
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs	Procyon Gaming	35¢	0¢	$-102	loss
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs	UNO MILLE	51¢	0¢	$-116	loss
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs BIG Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A	AaB Esport	47¢	0¢	$-92	loss
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Gentle Mates	67¢	100¢	+$53	win
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Natus Vincere	54¢	0¢	+$31	win
Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Global Esports	83¢	100¢	+$0	win
Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Team Secret	14¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	54¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 61% +$3,132 $105,501 vol · 179 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	22¢	18¢	$-42	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	13¢	16¢	+$25	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	9¢	9¢	+$29	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	89¢	91¢	+$24	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$38	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	No	92¢	100¢	$-101	loss
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	Yes	2¢	3¢	+$11	win
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	4¢	2¢	+$23	win

Mentions 54% +$2,568 $79,844 vol · 113 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?	No	14¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-111	loss
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	No	75¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will Kanye tweet again by February 28?	No	51¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Kanye tweet again by February 28?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$183	win
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	No	12¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Politics 62% +$2,187 $51,379 vol · 136 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	53¢	71¢	+$6	win
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	90¢	95¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	31¢	66¢	+$47	win
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	Yes	50¢	46¢	$-16	loss
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$273	win
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	3¢	0¢	+$35	win
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	16¢	15¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	68¢	70¢	+$15	win
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	28¢	30¢	+$4	win

Crypto 52% +$1,840 $93,278 vol · 583 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	11¢	10¢	$-2	loss
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	47¢	18¢	+$6	win
Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	95¢	98¢	+$5	win
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	55¢	32¢	$-2	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	5¢	2¢	+$12	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	95¢	98¢	+$14	win
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 9?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 50% +$1,357 $10,596 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	No	46¢	30¢	+$8	win
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	51¢	70¢	+$17	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?	Down	14¢	2¢	$-183	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	76¢	98¢	+$6	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?	Up	46¢	100¢	$-21	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?	Down	38¢	0¢	$-116	loss
Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	72¢	100¢	+$110	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 30?	Down	41¢	100¢	+$94	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?	Up	39¢	100¢	$-50	loss
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 30?	Up	42¢	0¢	$-122	loss

Elections 66% +$1,107 $26,080 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?	No	9¢	8¢	$-1	loss
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	95¢	95¢	+$4	win
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	5¢	5¢	+$4	win
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	23¢	28¢	+$15	win
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	35¢	55¢	+$40	win
Japanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will Trump say "Election" while addressing the nation on December 17?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$26	win

Weather 59% +$532 $31,713 vol · 415 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	92¢	93¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 18?	No	22¢	12¢	$-16	loss
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17?	Yes	18¢	9¢	+$12	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17?	No	86¢	91¢	+$6	win
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on April 16?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 16?	No	25¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 16?	No	9¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 16?	No	11¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 54% +$186 $7,422 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	43¢	22¢	$-37	loss
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	31¢	78¢	+$34	win
Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	12¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	No	42¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$150	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	No	11¢	0¢	$-116	loss
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	No	30¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win Best Special Visual Effects at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	No	6¢	0¢	$-76	loss

Tech 54% $-457 $21,226 vol · 79 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	66¢	74¢	+$27	win
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes	18¢	26¢	+$39	win
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?	No	53¢	39¢	$-22	loss
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	41¢	61¢	+$7	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	56¢	0¢	+$9	win
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	21¢	100¢	+$1	win
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	21¢	100¢	+$241	win
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $290?	No	41¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Google dip to $290 in March?	No	32¢	0¢	$-147	loss

Economy 31% $-946 $12,833 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$85	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-212	loss
Lille: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri	25¢	0¢	$-86	loss
Will ENPPI vs. Smouha SC end in a draw?	No	24¢	100¢	+$249	win
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Texas Southern Tigers: O/U 142.5	Over	50¢	0¢	$-252	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-305	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	26¢	0¢	$-334	loss

Sports 46% $-7,256 $160,985 vol · 613 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?	Yes	15¢	10¢	$-5	loss
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	78¢	86¢	+$18	win
Will the winner of the Bosnia and Herzegovina/Italy/Northern Ireland/Wales playoff win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	14¢	22¢	+$7	win
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	44¢	47¢	+$6	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	32¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff	Karolina Muchova	64¢	100¢	+$82	win
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	88¢	100¢	+$5	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemund	Iga Swiatek	96¢	100¢	+$5	win
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	63¢	100¢	+$8	win
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres	Colorado Rockies	14¢	0¢	$-55	loss

Other 45% $-21,804 $409,631 vol · 1575 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	2¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	53¢	54¢	+$15	win
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	40¢	46¢	+$36	win
Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	59¢	78¢	+$0	win
Maduro guilty of all counts?	Yes	27¢	22¢	+$32	win
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	2¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-216	loss
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Will the US strike Colombia next?	No	98¢	100¢	$-30	loss