ItsFridaaayy

Geopolitics 66% +$2,278 $6,843 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	25¢	22¢	$-1	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	56¢	78¢	+$145	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91¢	91¢	+$0	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	26¢	30¢	+$4	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	10¢	8¢	$-5	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	92¢	94¢	+$3	win
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$10	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	52¢	72¢	+$8	win

Crypto 95% +$564 $121,297 vol · 3489 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	51¢	51¢	$-0	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9PM ET	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$2	win

Tech 100% +$21 $95 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	78¢	100¢	+$7	win

Finance 100% +$10 $32 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$10	win

Culture 100% +$0 $84 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 0% $-50 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	5¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Elections 33% $-54 $97 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	80¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	69¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?	No	61¢	0¢	$-32	loss

Other 42% $-56 $696 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	19¢	16¢	$-4	loss
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	+$-0	loss
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	52¢	52¢	$-4	loss
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	Yes	91¢	86¢	$-2	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	36¢	1¢	$-51	loss
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	62¢	100¢	+$14	win

Politics 57% $-90 $1,305 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	9¢	8¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	86¢	100¢	+$10	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	79¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Trump attend UFC 327?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?	No	91¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-37	loss