kamtheman

Other 36% +$616 $965 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	9¢	3¢	$-33	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	44¢	4¢	$-21	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	6¢	100¢	+$706	win

Finance 67% +$20 $77 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	18¢	12¢	+$11	win
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	2¢	2¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 0% $-2 $21 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	24¢	22¢	$-2	loss

Politics 0% $-3 $71 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-3	loss

Geopolitics 38% $-24 $1,127 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	41¢	69¢	$-14	loss
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-22	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	54¢	42¢	$-6	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	33¢	78¢	+$4	win
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	Yes	35¢	100¢	+$35	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	27¢	75¢	+$22	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	24¢	69¢	+$22	win
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	20¢	6¢	$-7	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	5¢	91¢	+$33	win

Tech 0% $-39 $88 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-39	loss

Sports 0% $-302 $302 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Elections 13% $-883 $1,192 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	49¢	52¢	+$1	win
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Trump win no swing states?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will the AP call the election on November 5?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-30	loss
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-330	loss
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-137	loss
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-45	loss