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Geopolitics 79% +$2,114 $50,837 vol · 103 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	60¢	84¢	+$333	win
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	16¢	0¢	+$28	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	44¢	30¢	+$1	win
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	86¢	90¢	+$-0	—
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	83¢	86¢	+$13	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	66¢	81¢	+$22	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	93¢	98¢	+$6	win

Other 70% +$636 $22,493 vol · 100 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?	Yes	70¢	66¢	+$4	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	42¢	40¢	$-18	loss
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-1	loss
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	92¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	82¢	$-1	loss
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	Yes	75¢	72¢	$-2	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	89¢	96¢	+$11	win
Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	88¢	88¢	$-1	loss

Sports 69% +$256 $1,113 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	44¢	53¢	+$22	win
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5	Yes	27¢	0¢	+$7	win
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?	No	79¢	100¢	+$114	win
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	76¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Rams	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)	Patriots	47¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Pistons vs. Pelicans	Pistons	77¢	100¢	+$7	win
Pacers vs. 76ers	76ers	66¢	100¢	+$15	win
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	Tate	86¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Crypto 78% +$147 $2,107 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	57¢	60¢	+$6	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	79¢	78¢	$-2	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	95¢	99¢	+$4	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	No	94¢	100¢	+$22	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	84¢	100¢	$-9	loss

Politics 73% +$81 $6,820 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	91¢	92¢	+$14	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-29	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	53¢	58¢	$-318	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	78¢	1¢	$-31	loss
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	90¢	98¢	+$24	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	+$5	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	No	86¢	100¢	+$14	win

Elections 75% +$44 $2,975 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	53¢	52¢	$-0	loss
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	69¢	66¢	$-18	loss
Will Green Left win 25-29 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Naleraq win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will a party other than the Social Democrats have the Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Social Democrats win 35-39 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Green Left win 35+ seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Naleraq win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Liberal Alliance win <15 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win

Economy 100% +$34 $704 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	83¢	99¢	+$30	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4	win

Tech 80% $-17 $810 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	14¢	8¢	$-43	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 2?	No	100¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 2?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$2	win

Esports 36% $-180 $521 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	37¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In	Astralis	44¢	100¢	+$56	win
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In	PARIVISION	70¢	100¢	+$30	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In	Aurora Gaming	75¢	100¢	+$12	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In	GamerLegion	37¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	69¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	49¢	0¢	$-44	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	56¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs	Spirit	76¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Counter-Strike: ALLINNERS vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group C	illwill	69¢	100¢	+$9	win