StarMaster

Geopolitics 59% +$20,831 $1,182,627 vol · 422 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	33¢	24¢	+$308	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	35¢	0¢	+$257	win
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	37¢	45¢	+$39	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	67¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	61¢	0¢	$-33	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	54¢	84¢	+$0	—
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?	Yes	10¢	4¢	$-5	loss
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	37¢	81¢	$-12	loss
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	19¢	9¢	$-14	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	33¢	0¢	$-109	loss

Other 55% +$6,944 $249,698 vol · 791 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	81¢	94¢	+$138	win
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	74¢	68¢	$-25	loss
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$132	win
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	No	34¢	84¢	$-20	loss
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	47¢	64¢	+$51	win
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$32	win
Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	86¢	100¢	+$14	win
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$4	win
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	42¢	0¢	+$-0	—
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	82¢	100¢	$-48	loss

Tech 64% +$3,084 $20,966 vol · 63 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?	No	63¢	76¢	+$34	win
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	41¢	61¢	+$2	win
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	15¢	22¢	$-3	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	45¢	70¢	+$196	win
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	64¢	72¢	+$30	win
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	50¢	0¢	+$48	win
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	50¢	100¢	$-35	loss
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	68¢	62¢	+$14	win
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?	Yes	68¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	66¢	88¢	+$91	win

Elections 54% +$2,469 $88,964 vol · 106 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	1¢	+$0	—
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	58¢	64¢	+$16	win
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	53¢	55¢	+$50	win
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	64¢	66¢	+$7	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	41¢	42¢	+$10	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	51¢	57¢	$-10	loss
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$50	win

Politics 56% +$1,505 $126,076 vol · 377 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	1¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	31¢	28¢	+$20	win
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-192	loss
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$64	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	67¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	64¢	84¢	+$20	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	46¢	100¢	$-104	loss
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	12¢	100¢	+$7	win

Finance 64% +$623 $7,260 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	60¢	66¢	+$0	win
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	72¢	97¢	+$38	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	37¢	94¢	+$5	win
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	61¢	75¢	+$31	win
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	54¢	72¢	+$80	win
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	79¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	20¢	0¢	+$23	win
ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	80¢	72¢	+$17	win
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	19¢	11¢	$-8	loss
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	74¢	78¢	+$28	win

Economy 63% +$609 $20,972 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	52¢	92¢	+$374	win
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	Yes	15¢	12¢	$-16	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	90¢	94¢	+$0	—
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?	No	73¢	100¢	$-49	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$173	win
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?	No	63¢	100¢	$-29	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	No	23¢	0¢	$-14	loss

Crypto 53% +$513 $5,711 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	65¢	100¢	+$132	win
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	61¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	40¢	0¢	+$20	win
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	No	59¢	72¢	$-12	loss
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	29¢	100¢	+$158	win
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	40¢	28¢	$-47	loss
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	70¢	90¢	+$123	win
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	ETH	67¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	77¢	78¢	+$14	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	54¢	100¢	$-8	loss

Weather 50% $-25 $329 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5	Under	51¢	0¢	$-102	loss
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?	No	50¢	100¢	+$101	win
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?	Yes	48¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Mentions 33% $-31 $1,271 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	No	66¢	100¢	$-33	loss

Esports 50% $-38 $227 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	B8	60¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	TheMongolz	56¢	100¢	+$22	win

Culture 35% $-274 $5,408 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	10¢	15¢	+$9	win
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$120	win
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	73¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	69¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-176	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-263	loss

Sports 47% $-455 $28,098 vol · 194 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	57¢	74¢	+$82	win
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-123	loss
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	59¢	56¢	$-17	loss
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	6¢	20¢	+$49	win
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?	No	65¢	80¢	+$57	win
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	67¢	100¢	+$33	win
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov	Makhmudov	15¢	0¢	$-22	loss
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Jirí Procházka	50¢	0¢	$-100	loss
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Curtis Blaydes	51¢	0¢	$-102	loss
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)	Warriors	50¢	0¢	$-62	loss