0xheavy888

Esports 51% +$536,030 $8,122,723 vol · 4514 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	MOUZ	33¢	32¢	$-15	loss
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	FUT Esports	35¢	34¢	$-4	loss
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	52¢	0¢	$-727	loss
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner	Team Heretics	20¢	0¢	$-323	loss
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Gentle Mates	42¢	100¢	+$273	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Vitality	46¢	0¢	$-6,117	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	60¢	100¢	+$781	win
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Eternal Fire	46¢	100¢	+$755	win
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Karmine Corp	44¢	0¢	$-1,837	loss
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	84¢	100¢	+$200	win

Other 53% +$166,700 $3,416,266 vol · 1469 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	27¢	80¢	+$220	win
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	7¢	2¢	$-39	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-2,666	loss
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	95¢	98¢	+$24	win
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	93¢	99¢	+$319	win
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	81¢	94¢	+$224	win
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	66¢	88¢	+$279	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	77¢	96¢	+$768	win
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	75¢	100¢	+$953	win

Politics 70% +$12,100 $1,038,602 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	1¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3,073	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	81¢	92¢	+$1,860	win
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	68¢	92¢	+$1,211	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	60¢	60¢	+$140	win
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	94¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$7	win

Geopolitics 61% +$8,531 $613,112 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	41¢	0¢	+$170	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	23¢	8¢	+$140	win
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	75¢	94¢	+$1,249	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	80¢	96¢	+$78	win
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$2,825	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	15¢	0¢	+$3,500	win
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$75	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-1,871	loss

Economy 86% +$3,536 $52,948 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$1,970	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$450	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	21¢	100¢	+$360	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	55¢	100¢	$-331	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$0	win
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$163	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$924	win

Sports 55% +$2,920 $447,559 vol · 302 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?	No	87¢	100¢	+$7	win
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	BIG	62¢	100¢	+$1,571	win
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Eintracht Spandau	28¢	0¢	$-1,214	loss
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	G2 NORD	69¢	100¢	+$404	win
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Solary	75¢	100¢	+$18	win
LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	French Flair	48¢	0¢	$-433	loss
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	21¢	0¢	$-154	loss
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Verdant	41¢	0¢	$-602	loss
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Karmine Corp Blue	52¢	0¢	$-88	loss
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Berlin International Gaming	80¢	100¢	$-448	loss

Finance 56% +$1,054 $4,422 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?	No	66¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	No	24¢	100¢	+$630	win
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	No	23¢	100¢	$-118	loss
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-227	loss
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?	No	74¢	100¢	+$900	win
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in April?	No	76¢	100¢	+$118	win
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?	No	69¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	70¢	26¢	$-261	loss

Elections 68% +$911 $575,520 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	50¢	16¢	$-506	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	50¢	46¢	+$480	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	50¢	16¢	$-901	loss
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	50¢	1¢	+$0	—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	50¢	99¢	+$0	—
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	57¢	64¢	+$1,215	win
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	52¢	92¢	+$3,808	win
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	50¢	55¢	+$245	win
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$135	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	58¢	0¢	+$20	win

Tech 55% +$132 $18,122 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	63¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-3,441	loss
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-278	loss
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$392	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-243	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	56¢	100¢	$-24	loss
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$1,214	win
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?	No	70¢	100¢	+$62	win

Mentions 0% $-108 $305 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?	Yes	49¢	100¢	$-54	loss
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?	No	45¢	100¢	$-54	loss

Weather 57% $-486 $3,065 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5	Over	50¢	100¢	+$49	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5	Under	56¢	0¢	$-150	loss
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)	Hobart Hurricanes	71¢	100¢	+$306	win
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)	Perth Scorchers	43¢	0¢	$-1,135	loss
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?	No	69¢	100¢	+$47	win

Crypto 33% $-1,035 $65,848 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	91¢	100¢	+$90	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	40¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	15¢	0¢	$-163	loss
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$80	win
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-318	loss
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$482	win
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	No	42¢	0¢	+$19	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?	No	98¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-206	loss
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?	No	25¢	0¢	$-309	loss

Culture 44% $-2,705 $85,089 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	24¢	0¢	$-414	loss
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$275	win
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$105	win
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?	No	10¢	100¢	$-37	loss
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?	Yes	98¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?	No	69¢	0¢	$-2,672	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?	No	97¢	100¢	+$310	win
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-233	loss