Win rate
93.3%
14 W / 1 L
Total PnL
$65
realized $-1,134 · unrealized $1,199
Portfolio
$1,199
volume $16,410
Predictions
14
0.3/day · avg $1,172
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "Third term" in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 83% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Other 100% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Elections 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (15)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,199 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,197 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,194 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,155 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Third term" in March? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,186 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,152 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,169 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,175 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,164 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,149 | 01/03/2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,134 | 07/01/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,165 | 01/01/1970 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,192 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $1,136 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,176 | 31/12/2026 |