iamkrisas

Other 64% +$27,931 $1,699,288 vol · 721 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-528	loss
Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	99¢	100¢	$-140	loss
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$14	win
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$30	win
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	93¢	96¢	+$23	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	$-2	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	81¢	52¢	$-909	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	48¢	48¢	+$2,806	win
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	81¢	94¢	+$20	win
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	29¢	34¢	+$511	win

Geopolitics 86% +$16,173 $307,466 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$87	win
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	47¢	50¢	+$241	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	76¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	+$158	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$72	win
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-1,511	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$168	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	65¢	0¢	+$162	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	76¢	100¢	+$75	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$22	win

Tech 59% +$11,366 $99,863 vol · 61 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$381	win
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	100¢	100¢	+$11	win
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	48¢	0¢	$-1,733	loss
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-408	loss
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?	No	61¢	0¢	$-1,527	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	52¢	100¢	+$13,351	win
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	94¢	100¢	$-88	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	11¢	0¢	$-870	loss
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-595	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	No	89¢	100¢	$-108	loss

Weather 100% +$0 $71 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 54°F or higher on January 5?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 0% +$0 $55,000 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—

Politics 65% $-425 $143,066 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	77¢	92¢	+$11	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	66¢	84¢	$-96	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-164	loss
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	88¢	90¢	+$682	win
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	47¢	52¢	+$10	win
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	86¢	100¢	+$4,326	win
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	60¢	100¢	+$2,296	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	86¢	100¢	+$387	win
Will Donald Trump be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	No	83¢	100¢	+$148	win

Mentions 50% $-537 $1,830 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-542	loss

Economy 70% $-702 $31,873 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	20¢	0¢	+$20	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	68¢	100¢	$-975	loss
Will Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-47	loss
Will Bryan Johnson say "Blood Boy" while tripping balls?	No	50¢	100¢	+$10	win

Finance 0% $-1,600 $1,600 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-1,600	loss

Esports 29% $-4,882 $13,051 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	paiN Gaming	25¢	0¢	$-1,216	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Heretics	14¢	0¢	$-98	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	35¢	0¢	$-511	loss
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)	Hanwha Life Esports	76¢	0¢	$-635	loss
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	90¢	100¢	+$112	win
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	PARIVISION	65¢	0¢	$-1,001	loss
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	Aurora	57¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	Team Falcons	58¢	0¢	$-505	loss
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)	Bilibili Gaming	27¢	0¢	$-270	loss
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	17¢	100¢	+$1,043	win

Crypto 69% $-5,391 $263,511 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-1,753	loss
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	47¢	49¢	+$1,919	win
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	13¢	2¢	$-113	loss
Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$570	win
BNP Paribas Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	56¢	0¢	$-2,794	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	2¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$193	win
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$80	win
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will CoinMamba win the Synthetix trading competition?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win

Sports 60% $-8,556 $92,807 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov	Fury	85¢	100¢	+$1,051	win
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-2,003	loss
Heat vs. Raptors	Raptors	60¢	100¢	+$10	win
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs J.J. Wolf	Jack Pinnington Jones	55¢	100¢	+$1,218	win
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	26¢	0¢	+$9	win
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Sabres	48¢	0¢	$-1,008	loss
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Ugo Humbert	Rublev	53¢	100¢	+$962	win
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draper	Draper	69¢	0¢	$-171	loss
Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexander Shevchenko vs Karen Khachanov	Khachanov	54¢	100¢	+$1,240	win
Dubai Tennis Championships: Otto Virtanen vs Tallon Griekspoor	Griekspoor	55¢	100¢	+$1,156	win