Billy-Ray

Weather 93% +$4,184 $419,362 vol · 406 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?	Yes	98¢	98¢	+$12	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 11?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$35	win

Sports 86% +$1,955 $47,506 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?	No	6¢	0¢	$-704	loss
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-858	loss
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 11?	Down	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	84¢	0¢	$-595	loss
Will Tom Brady attend Super Bowl LX?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will LeBron James attend Super Bowl LX?	No	76¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers?	No	96¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-303	loss

Culture 85% +$714 $26,284 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Harry Styles release an album in 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	26¢	0¢	+$16	win
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$212	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new song in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	No	72¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-184	loss
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	No	19¢	0¢	$-243	loss

Crypto 80% +$705 $24,190 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?	Yes	97¢	99¢	+$57	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?	Yes	98¢	99¢	+$16	win
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$307	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$160	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$158	win
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 31-April 6?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$86	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 10-16?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$22	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	84¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	67¢	100¢	+$50	win

Politics 94% +$541 $17,593 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$232	win
Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday?	No	90¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump say "Congress" during EPA announcement?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Democrat" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump say "Killing" or "Execution" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?	No	59¢	0¢	$-384	loss
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$60	win
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Other 95% +$296 $159,292 vol · 213 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Igor Tudor be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	94¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?	No	91¢	94¢	+$46	win
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	89¢	59¢	$-47	loss
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	90¢	60¢	$-510	loss
Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?	No	91¢	98¢	+$29	win
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Dracula - JENNIE Remix - Tame Impala & JENNIE" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "FYA - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 50% +$16 $422 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?	No	92¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-13	loss

Finance 75% $-951 $36,174 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	90¢	100¢	+$388	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$59	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	90¢	100¢	+$186	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$85	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?	Down	86¢	0¢	$-1,125	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?	Up	97¢	100¢	+$15	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 8?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$9	win
NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday?	No	98¢	100¢	+$57	win