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0xeC20d6D42aB5F11A8AD6adF89F598e1662e17c9b-1774402941909
0xec20d6d42ab5f11a8ad6adf89f598e1662e17c9b · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
56.5%
13 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$700
realized $-33 · unrealized $734
Portfolio
$734
volume $30,588
Predictions
23
1.1/day · avg $1,330
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 53% +$593
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | No | 29¢ | 81¢ | $-21 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 64¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 8¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 67% +$139
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$145 | win |
| Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 78¢ | 88¢ | $-10 | loss |
Elections 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | Yes | 69¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | No | 34¢ | 34¢ | $-3 | loss |
Finance 0% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | No | 58¢ | 67¢ | $-36 | loss |
Recent Trades (23)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | No | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $1,007 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $226 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $62 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | +$145 | $756 | 14/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 88.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $224 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1? | No | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 01/04/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | No | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $279 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $136 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 88¢ | $-10 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | No | 78.0¢ | 92¢ | +$641 | $2,133 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $191 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $33 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | No | 17.5¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 24.4¢ | 8¢ | $-33 | $296 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 64¢ | $-4 | $198 | 31/05/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | No | 29.0¢ | 81¢ | $-21 | $98 | 31/05/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | No | 21.0¢ | 74¢ | $-14 | $106 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 63.7¢ | 64¢ | $-0 | $191 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | $22 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | No | 34.0¢ | 34¢ | $-3 | $25 | 31/12/2026 |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | No | 57.7¢ | 67¢ | $-36 | $140 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 17¢ | +$4 | $50 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.8¢ | 19¢ | +$1 | $50 | 07/11/2028 |