self-defence

Other 78% +$2,735 $54,972 vol · 142 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	71¢	56¢	$-6	loss
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	33¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	87¢	90¢	+$4	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	89¢	81¢	$-4	loss
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	97¢	99¢	+$9	win
Will Napoli qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	98¢	95¢	$-2	loss
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	92¢	94¢	+$4	win
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Carolina Royal Ravens	56¢	56¢	+$0	win
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-19?	No	58¢	72¢	+$14	win

Sports 73% +$613 $3,652 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)	Hornets	49¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	67¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	68¢	100¢	+$32	win
Hornets vs. Knicks	Hornets	87¢	100¢	+$26	win
Magic vs. Celtics	Magic	88¢	0¢	$-368	loss
Spread: Jazz (-3.5)	Jazz	53¢	100¢	+$94	win
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5	Under	50¢	100¢	+$25	win
Magic vs. Bulls	Magic	91¢	100¢	+$10	win
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers	Clippers	48¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)	76ers	49¢	0¢	$-49	loss

Esports 72% +$403 $87,306 vol · 151 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)	Hanwha Life Esports	62¢	100¢	+$38	win
Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage	ZETA DIVISION	96¢	99¢	+$9	win
LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	HMBLE	89¢	100¢	+$77	win
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group B	KRÜ Spark	99¢	100¢	+$9	win
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs New Era (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage	Crazy Raccoon	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS - Map 2 Winner	Sangal ALTERS	86¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A	XI Esport	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs ZennIT - Game 2 Winner	Frites Esports Club	93¢	100¢	+$44	win
LoL: UB Alma Mater vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winner	Barça eSports	90¢	100¢	+$24	win
LoL: FALKE Esports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	89¢	100¢	+$11	win

Mentions 100% +$29 $170 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$6	win

Economy 100% +$7 $93 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$7	win

Politics 60% $-79 $1,890 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$51	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	85¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	81¢	92¢	+$4	win
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	85¢	40¢	$-142	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	No	91¢	100¢	+$9	win

Crypto 46% $-126 $10,066 vol · 228 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	49¢	100¢	+$26	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	63¢	100¢	+$18	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	78¢	100¢	+$14	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	33¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	68¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	61¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	42¢	0¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	52¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	58¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	62¢	0¢	$-7	loss

Elections 0% $-215 $1,130 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	85¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	73¢	66¢	$-1	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	96¢	77¢	$-213	loss

Geopolitics 56% $-667 $18,228 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	64¢	28¢	$-39	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	41¢	30¢	$-33	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	90¢	91¢	+$0	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	87¢	99¢	+$19	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$12	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	94¢	0¢	$-470	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	91¢	90¢	$-3	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-113	loss
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Iran strike Syria in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win