Win rate
96.1%
298 W / 12 L
Total PnL
$627
realized $-4,612 · unrealized $5,239
Portfolio
$5,239
volume $568,037
Predictions
324
2.5/day · avg $1,753
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 96% +$998
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the first round by 2–4%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 99% +$236
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 13? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 23? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 90% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win more than 22% of votes in the first round? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win more than 26% of votes in the first round? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win less than 12% of votes in the first round? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in November? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies vs. Diamondbacks | Diamondbacks | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Cowboys vs. Bears | Bears | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Israel strike Syria by September 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will “The Perfect Neighbor” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 28) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 93% $-731
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $105 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 68 million views on day 5? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 56 million views on day 3? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,362 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3? | No | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $96 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 66 million or more views on day 3? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $304 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 44 million views on day 2? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $2,665 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 47 million views on day 2? | No | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $213 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $698 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $2,146 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $4,989 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $5,302 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $2,911 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $1,402 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $3,143 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $2,774 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,992 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $3,914 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,135 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $4,496 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,197 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $786 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,248 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $298 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | Yes | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $67 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $514 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $201 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $786 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $400 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $130 | 31/03/2026 |
| 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $98 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $95 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-90 | $2,211 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 75 million views on day 5? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-29 | $1,154 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $2,484 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $2,262 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 3? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,326 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $490 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 47 million views on day 2? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,509 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $702 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 44 million views on day 2? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $441 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $599 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $300 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Ireland win? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $4,578 | 13/03/2026 |