Win rate
17.7%
124 W / 578 L
Total PnL
$3,259
realized $2,614 · unrealized $644
Portfolio
$644
volume $259,108
Predictions
9,394
238.9/day · avg $28
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 20% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israel | Israel | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israel | Netherlands | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Nicaragua | Nicaragua | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will "Military" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Culture 50% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Opera" be said at the Oscars? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said at the Oscars? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "Free Bert" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026) | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Weather 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Cavaliers | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
Crypto 11% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 31-April 6? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Melania say "Star" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Melania say "Future" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Netherlands | Venezuela | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 24-March 2? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| XRP Up or Down on February 19? | Down | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Tech 0% $-72
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 23? | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| ELH: Kometa vs. Dynamo Pardubice | Dynamo Pardubice | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on March 16? | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 16? | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 9? | Down | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 9? | Down | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will "Microsoft" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 2? | Down | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Elections 26% $-139
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 86¢ | 84¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | No | 82¢ | 72¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 96¢ | 94¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | Yes | 64¢ | 56¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | No | 54¢ | 8¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Yes | 52¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 69¢ | 76¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | No | 64¢ | 87¢ | $-7 | loss |
Finance 14% $-145
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will PNC (PNC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Mentions 8% $-227
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026? | No | 98¢ | 95¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will CZ post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
Esports 11% $-231
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: REBORN vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B | REBORN | 54¢ | 40¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Crashers vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs | HereWeGoAgain | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$11 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Crashers vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs | Crashers | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Young Ninjas | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Valorant: M80 vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage | M80 | 57¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Valorant: FlyQuest vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage | FlyQuest | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs | Fake do Biru | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage | ROSE | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B | Nigma Galaxy | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season | Dewa United Esports | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
Sports 23% $-457
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 74¢ | 76¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season | ONIC | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | Arizona Diamondbacks | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Scotland | Scotland | 70¢ | 50¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC PH vs Aurora Gaming PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season | Aurora Gaming PH | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Celtics | 56¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Politics 12% $-1,011
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? | Yes | 88¢ | 90¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will James Kingston be the Republican nominee for GA-01? | Yes | 95¢ | 96¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will John Cowan be the Republican nominee for GA-11? | No | 95¢ | 87¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Holly Adams be the Republican nominee for OH-01? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Eric Conroy be the Republican nominee for OH-01? | Yes | 89¢ | 90¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Craig Haggard be the Republican nominee for IN-04? | No | 90¢ | 87¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Melania" this week? (April 19) | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump say "Melania" this week? (April 19) | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17? | Yes | 71¢ | 80¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Deficit" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
Other 21% $-1,045
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | No | 91¢ | 99¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Chelsea finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotland | Scotland | 70¢ | 49¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov vs. Praggnanandhaa R end in a draw? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Laura Samson | Lisa Pigato | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Laura Samson | Laura Samson | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 14? | Up | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Mena | Luka Pavlovic | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Sarasota: Darwin Blanch vs Federico Agustin Gomez | Darwin Blanch | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 80¢ | $-5 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season | ONIC | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov vs. Praggnanandhaa R end in a draw? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 52.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Favored Nation" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Deficit" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $28 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 10+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | Yes | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $28 | 16/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Laura Samson | Lisa Pigato | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Laura Samson | Laura Samson | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will PNC (PNC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Leo" or "Pope" during Fox interview on Wednesday? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 41.3¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60.6¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 14? | Up | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 83.2¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $58 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 67.4¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $44 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Crashers vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs | HereWeGoAgain | 50.0¢ | 50¢ | +$11 | $37 | 13/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Mena | Luka Pavlovic | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $47 | 13/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Darwin Blanch vs Federico Agustin Gomez | Darwin Blanch | 43.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 13/04/2026 |
| Monza: Dusan Lajovic vs Mattia Bellucci | Mattia Bellucci | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Facundo Mena | Facundo Mena | 26.9¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuel | Toby Samuel | 54.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |
| Monza: Moez Echargui vs Remy Bertola | Moez Echargui | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuel | Daniel Rincon | 46.8¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $42 | 13/04/2026 |
| Monza: Dusan Lajovic vs Mattia Bellucci | Dusan Lajovic | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $28 | 13/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Facundo Acosta | Facundo Acosta | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $39 | 13/04/2026 |
| Monza: Moez Echargui vs Remy Bertola | Remy Bertola | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzige | Sergey Fomin | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $34 | 13/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Darwin Blanch vs Federico Agustin Gomez | Federico Agustin Gomez | 57.4¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $39 | 13/04/2026 |
| ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Scotland | Scotland | 70.5¢ | 50¢ | $-3 | $32 | 13/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $43 | 13/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'Connell | Raphael Collignon | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $54 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Crashers vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs | Crashers | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-8 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $32 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" this week? (April 12) | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" this week? (April 12) | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastable" during his next video? | No | 57.0¢ | 52¢ | +$2 | $27 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastable" during his next video? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 48¢ | +$0 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |