Win rate
48.3%
14 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$-120
realized $-902 · unrealized $782
Portfolio
$782
volume $13,879
Predictions
27
0.9/day · avg $514
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 50% +$69
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 74¢ | 72¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 76¢ | 98¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 12¢ | 40¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 13¢ | 40¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 88¢ | 54¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$10 | win |
Politics 50% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 36¢ | 41¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 35¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 65¢ | 44¢ | $-14 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-70
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
Geopolitics 45% $-122
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$24 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 30¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$15 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 70¢ | 70¢ | +$0 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 69¢ | 96¢ | +$6 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 61¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 39¢ | 10¢ | $-44 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
Recent Trades (29)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $90 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 39.4¢ | 10¢ | $-44 | $101 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $68 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 99¢ | +$23 | $46 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 66.0¢ | 99¢ | +$12 | $36 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 54.4¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $220 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 47.7¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $109 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $217 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 76.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $120 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $80 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 61.0¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | $112 | 22/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 65.0¢ | 44¢ | $-14 | $53 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 69.0¢ | 96¢ | +$6 | $53 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 87.8¢ | 54¢ | $-25 | $120 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $120 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | $62 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 36.0¢ | 41¢ | +$1 | $21 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 40¢ | $-12 | $142 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 12.8¢ | 40¢ | $-29 | $240 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 98¢ | +$20 | $76 | 30/05/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 70.3¢ | 70¢ | +$0 | $57 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 74.0¢ | 72¢ | $-5 | $120 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 84.0¢ | 91¢ | +$10 | $120 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 75.0¢ | 94¢ | +$15 | $60 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 68.0¢ | 81¢ | +$24 | $120 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 84.4¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | $135 | 31/12/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 30¢ | $-11 | $56 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 75.1¢ | 79¢ | +$6 | $120 | 07/11/2028 |