Win rate
67.7%
21 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$334
realized $-2,392 · unrealized $2,725
Portfolio
$2,725
volume $13,842
Predictions
208
92.1/day · avg $67
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 57% +$239
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will XRP reach $1.40 in April? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | Yes | 47¢ | 57¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in April? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in April? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$13 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | win |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Elections 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 67% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 72¢ | 52¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (31)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026? | Yes | 89.1¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $122 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $90 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $95 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 77.3¢ | 88¢ | +$13 | $90 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 96.3¢ | 97¢ | +$6 | $334 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 72.2¢ | 52¢ | $-10 | $88 | 30/04/2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | No | 98.3¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 35¢ | +$85 | $120 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 8¢ | +$14 | $30 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | Yes | 14.6¢ | 18¢ | +$7 | $30 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | No | 97.0¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $109 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | No | 97.7¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $64 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 23¢ | +$20 | $60 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | No | 72.3¢ | 65¢ | $-2 | $182 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April? | No | 89.2¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | $33 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in April? | No | 96.9¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $30 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $110 in April? | No | 92.7¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | $38 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | Yes | 47.5¢ | 57¢ | +$11 | $126 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in April? | No | 97.5¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | $227 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in April? | No | 93.0¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | $47 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in April? | No | 96.1¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | $44 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 90.2¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | $186 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 61.4¢ | 62¢ | +$87 | $1,270 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in April? | No | 98.1¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $69 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $92 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.40 in April? | Yes | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $50 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | Yes | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $128 | 01/05/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | No | 90.6¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | $103 | 31/05/2026 |