1DVSBSTD

Weather 99% +$852 $214,708 vol · 2923 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 19?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 49°C on April 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 19?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 25°C or below on April 19?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C or below on April 19?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on April 18?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 50% +$311 $229 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	23¢	16¢	$-1	loss
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	41¢	54¢	$-3	loss
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	Yes	32¢	95¢	+$99	win
Will Trump attend UFC 327?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$215	win

Geopolitics 75% +$310 $287 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$105	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	23¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	17¢	100¢	+$234	win
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 100% +$68 $30 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$68	win

Culture 20% $-22 $4,974 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	+$89	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	83¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?	No	87¢	100¢	$-79	loss

Tech 0% $-50 $360 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	31¢	8¢	$-50	loss

Economy 50% $-55 $104 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?	No	43¢	44¢	+$1	win
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2.4%?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-56	loss

Other 55% $-63 $1,261 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	62¢	56¢	$-2	loss
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	43¢	6¢	$-38	loss
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?	No	77¢	90¢	+$4	win
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	46¢	42¢	$-40	loss
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-149	loss
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?	No	61¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	75¢	77¢	+$7	win

Crypto 43% $-119 $583 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	71¢	78¢	+$4	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	No	63¢	0¢	$-126	loss
Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	69¢	100¢	+$17	win

Elections 43% $-299 $2,334 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?	No	87¢	88¢	+$2	win
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-01 House seat?	No	89¢	87¢	+$0	win
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?	No	86¢	87¢	+$0	—
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?	No	87¢	88¢	$-2	loss
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?	Yes	80¢	78¢	$-3	loss
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	52¢	37¢	$-10	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?	No	88¢	87¢	$-1	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?	No	87¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?	No	88¢	86¢	$-1	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?	No	86¢	88¢	+$1	win