Doonhamer

Other 42% +$100 $238,652 vol · 302 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	20¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	56¢	39¢	$-37	loss
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	59¢	68¢	+$1	win
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	73¢	66¢	+$0	—
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	82¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	86¢	100¢	+$30	win
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	26¢	0¢	+$0	win
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	66¢	100¢	+$21	win
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	11¢	0¢	$-469	loss
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	86¢	100¢	+$84	win

Geopolitics 53% +$28 $33,772 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	51¢	85¢	+$2	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	15¢	100¢	+$0	—
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	64¢	100¢	$-70	loss
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	56¢	96¢	+$5	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	22¢	6¢	+$0	—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	15¢	10¢	+$-0	—
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$32	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	80¢	0¢	$-28	loss
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$252	win
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	No	25¢	100¢	+$95	win

Tech 56% $-7 $4,126 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	48¢	64¢	+$0	win
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	49¢	64¢	+$4	win
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	43¢	36¢	$-40	loss
ChatGPT Outage by March 31?	No	52¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	75¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$0	—
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 26?	Up	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Mentions 50% $-15 $1,135 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	No	84¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Culture 33% $-16 $1,395 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	68¢	78¢	+$0	win
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	39¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Weather 0% $-229 $518 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	58¢	80¢	$-2	loss
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	20¢	0¢	$-227	loss

Sports 18% $-273 $29,300 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-3	loss
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	58¢	100¢	+$7	win
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Dodgers	58¢	100¢	+$0	—
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Kansas City Royals	49¢	0¢	+$0	—
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	57¢	100¢	+$0	—
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox	Milwaukee Brewers	42¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves	Pelicans	27¢	0¢	+$0	—
Bulls vs. Mavericks	Bulls	29¢	0¢	+$0	—
Nuggets vs. Spurs	Nuggets	19¢	100¢	+$0	—
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	71¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Esports 7% $-308 $18,039 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Leviatán Esports	30¢	30¢	+$4	win
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	Fluxo W7M	18¢	18¢	$-1	loss
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Evil Geniuses	31¢	0¢	+$0	—
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	FULL SENSE	77¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	Wolves Esports	26¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Gen.G Esports	26¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	ZETA DIVISION	27¢	0¢	$-115	loss
Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Team Secret	16¢	0¢	+$0	—
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	GAM Esports	58¢	100¢	+$0	—
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Sentinels	55¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Finance 35% $-694 $27,987 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	76¢	90¢	$-9	loss
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	21¢	10¢	$-177	loss
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	83¢	95¢	$-15	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?	Down	92¢	100¢	+$43	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 8?	Up	79¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?	Down	46¢	100¢	$-4	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?	Down	51¢	0¢	+$20	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?	Down	68¢	0¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?	Up	45¢	100¢	$-17	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?	Up	28¢	100¢	$-125	loss

Politics 35% $-1,156 $23,640 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$4	win
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0¢	1¢	+$0	—
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	15¢	7¢	+$71	win
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	52¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	86¢	93¢	$-162	loss
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	64¢	36¢	+$3	win
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	23¢	64¢	$-170	loss
Will Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in April?	No	80¢	86¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	88¢	100¢	$-48	loss

Elections 0% $-1,363 $16,806 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	76¢	81¢	$-2	loss
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	30¢	100¢	$-41	loss
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	24¢	100¢	$-1,051	loss

Crypto 46% $-2,244 $26,675 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	25¢	9¢	$-2	loss
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	35¢	40¢	$-2	loss
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	Yes	64¢	78¢	+$159	win
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	92¢	92¢	$-19	loss
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	54¢	32¢	+$4	win
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinn	Terence Atmane	44¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	No	60¢	0¢	$-450	loss
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-420	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	53¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	Yes	38¢	0¢	+$40	win