starbuck02

Geopolitics 63% +$142,710 $1,282,752 vol · 103 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$644	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$604	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	33¢	24¢	$-906	loss
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	45¢	6¢	$-118	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	70¢	73¢	+$290	win
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$578	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$124	win
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$107	win
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$70	win

Esports 61% +$60,863 $1,060,178 vol · 159 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	61¢	100¢	+$14,085	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	77¢	100¢	+$1,841	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	FURIA	50¢	100¢	+$5,531	win
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Team Vitality	72¢	0¢	$-13,630	loss
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)	Bilibili Gaming	53¢	0¢	$-2,613	loss
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	EDward Gaming	49¢	0¢	$-3,592	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	67¢	100¢	+$3,608	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Aurora Gaming	67¢	100¢	+$4,110	win
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner	G2	71¢	100¢	+$1,015	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	B8	70¢	100¢	+$900	win

Other 68% +$55,864 $767,559 vol · 221 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$733	win
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	76¢	76¢	$-15	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	88¢	95¢	+$496	win
Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	77¢	62¢	$-345	loss
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-836	loss
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	70¢	71¢	+$15	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	84¢	99¢	+$5,400	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	95¢	97¢	+$54	win
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	70¢	84¢	+$267	win

Crypto 57% +$19,038 $254,890 vol · 91 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	9¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	30¢	100¢	+$700	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$66	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?	No	63¢	100¢	+$1,115	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	62¢	100¢	+$935	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	40¢	0¢	$-594	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	55¢	0¢	$-825	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24?	No	48¢	100¢	+$1,630	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?	No	9¢	0¢	$-372	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 20?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-930	loss

Elections 69% +$7,835 $61,666 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$298	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$9,655	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	84¢	100¢	+$294	win
Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	92¢	100¢	+$186	win
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$369	win
Election certified on January 6?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?	No	94¢	0¢	$-800	loss
218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?	No	87¢	0¢	$-1,925	loss
218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the next US Speaker be elected in two ballots?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Weather 81% +$5,596 $24,713 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 14?	No	91¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 14?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on April 14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	61¢	100¢	+$4,177	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	St. Johns Red Storm	91¢	100¢	+$293	win
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)	Northern Iowa Panthers	51¢	0¢	$-1,912	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 17?	No	78¢	100¢	+$8	win
Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires?	No	39¢	0¢	+$9	win

Tech 100% +$64 $1,873 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk settle lawsuit with OpenAI before 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$48	win

Economy 67% +$49 $286 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	46¢	10¢	$-26	loss
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	No	73¢	100¢	+$75	win
Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 17% $-238 $6,550 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	84¢	84¢	$-164	loss
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	94¢	93¢	$-5	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?	Down	67¢	0¢	$-74	loss

Mentions 60% $-3,174 $51,032 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	9¢	12¢	+$18	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$401	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$261	win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$65	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-142	loss
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-240	loss
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$470	win

Politics 67% $-6,978 $337,396 vol · 90 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	24¢	30¢	+$470	win
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	94¢	99¢	+$30	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	76¢	72¢	$-60	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by April 30, 2026?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$134	win
Will Trump say "Biden" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$407	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-1,408	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Trump post "Happy Easter" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	89¢	0¢	$-2,289	loss

Sports 61% $-142,344 $1,147,917 vol · 167 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros	Colorado Rockies	30¢	100¢	+$10,334	win
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Atlanta Braves	52¢	100¢	+$6,240	win
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers	Kansas City Royals	48¢	0¢	$-4,860	loss
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	48¢	100¢	+$18,558	win
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics	Texas Rangers	93¢	100¢	+$135	win
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves	Miami Marlins	96¢	100¢	+$1,711	win
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Spread: Suns (-2.5)	Suns	52¢	73¢	+$1,138	win
Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5	Over	51¢	100¢	+$1,023	win
Ducks vs. Predators	Predators	46¢	0¢	$-26,781	loss