TortugaGorda

Politics 47% +$171,341 $242,105 vol · 503 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-45	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-5,044	loss
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	6¢	3¢	$-249	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	33¢	40¢	$-109	loss
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-493	loss
Will Trump say "Nuclear dust" during Monday news conference?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$53	win
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	5¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during the FII PRIORITY Summit?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Trump say "SNAP" or "Food Stamp" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-120	loss

Other 29% +$10,370 $55,456 vol · 156 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	Yes	4¢	3¢	+$27	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-702	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of March 2026?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-537	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-776	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-234	loss
Will the State of the Union address be delayed?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-47	loss

Mentions 0% $-36 $36 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Luigi Mangione tweet again by Friday?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-36	loss

Tech 20% $-434 $1,266 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will JB Straubel be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-87	loss
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	No	16¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-180	loss

Crypto 43% $-562 $990 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gwyneth Paltrow win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-386	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	18¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	14¢	0¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	6¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	66¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	17¢	0¢	+$2	win
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-133	loss

Geopolitics 35% $-2,243 $17,216 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?	No	1¢	0¢	+$3	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-24	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-208	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$132	win
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-253	loss
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-1,372	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-3,918	loss
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-360	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$37	win

Culture 0% $-4,001 $5,345 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Odessa A'zion win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-88	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-1,021	loss
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-1,056	loss
Will another movie gross most in 2024?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-1,804	loss

Sports 43% $-4,192 $7,133 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will "Football" be said 20+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$62	win
Will Inter Milan win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-4,329	loss
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner	Ding	20¢	0¢	+$1,160	win
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 10 of the World Chess Championship?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-151	loss
Will JD Vance say "Inflation" during the debate?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-929	loss

Economy 0% $-7,833 $10,105 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-7,128	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-190	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-399	loss

Elections 14% $-34,512 $68,788 vol · 70 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	11¢	1¢	$-19	loss
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-169	loss
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	10¢	2¢	$-126	loss
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	No	57¢	100¢	+$98	win
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-488	loss
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	14¢	59¢	+$150	win
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-151	loss
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?	No	3¢	0¢	$-266	loss
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-4,374	loss