Win rate
97.7%
749 W / 18 L
Total PnL
$2,488
realized $-1,147 · unrealized $3,636
Portfolio
$3,636
volume $1,365,682
Predictions
831
1.8/day · avg $1,643
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 98% +$3,213
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or higher on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 18? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 18? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 100% +$179
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner | FaZe | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner | TYLOO | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner | FURIA Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | PARIVISION | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | Aurora | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs | Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 3? | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 1? | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TDK vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winner | WHITEBIRD | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 100% +$77
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Odds Nasralla wins Honduras presidential election Sunday over 30%? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by less than 30%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will anyone other than the listed individuals win Staten Island? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 100% +$48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Borussia Dortmund vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| 1. FC Heidenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 | Over | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-25? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Tech 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $120M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will AutoSleep Track Sleep on Watch be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 78% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | Magic | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Clippers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Thunder | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Topuria | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Economy 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Mentions 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 98% $-243
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $200 in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-318 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be above $190 on December 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 11? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 10? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 9? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 96% $-512
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Spread: CA Unión (-2.5) | CA Newells Old Boys | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 2? | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 1? | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 5? | Over | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 5? | Under | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | — |
| Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs Talent Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Talent Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the fight be won by submission? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $952 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $946 | 19/04/2026 |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $599 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $426 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $882 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 18? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $320 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $71 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $582 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 18? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $372 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $182 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $9,346 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | Magic | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $496 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,404 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,211 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Unión (-2.5) | CA Newells Old Boys | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $375 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $795 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $443 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 61°F or below on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,425 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,114 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,043 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $399 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $707 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $702 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $501 | 16/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,178 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,373 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,006 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $923 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $732 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $643 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $295 | 15/04/2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $146 | 15/04/2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $81 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,998 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 14? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $283 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $261 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $9,620 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $9,617 | 12/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Clippers | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,997 | 08/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Thunder | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $919 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 28? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $9,500 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on March 27? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,871 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on March 27? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,389 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $764 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on March 27? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $815 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 27? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $387 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on March 26? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $371 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 26? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $985 | 26/03/2026 |