PAntipov

Crypto 74% +$1,601 $91,617 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	87¢	80¢	$-20	loss
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	92¢	86¢	$-18	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	64¢	50¢	$-125	loss
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	96¢	98¢	+$10	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	95¢	98¢	+$4	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Other 63% +$201 $39,296 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	87¢	92¢	$-22	loss
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	90¢	95¢	+$26	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	94¢	93¢	+$2	win
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	93¢	96¢	+$0	win
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	86¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	86¢	81¢	$-5	loss

Culture 84% +$56 $3,352 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$67	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$3	win

Tech 100% +$48 $1,415 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	60¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$17	win

Economy 100% +$24 $1,568 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$13	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$11	win

Elections 100% +$4 $478 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$4	win

Politics 78% $-37 $5,848 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	95¢	100¢	+$13	win
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	89¢	90¢	+$12	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	85¢	84¢	+$6	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	38¢	16¢	$-125	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	89¢	93¢	+$2	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	74¢	84¢	+$6	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	87¢	83¢	$-2	loss
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	95¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win

Sports 67% $-67 $1,605 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	No	86¢	86¢	$-2	loss
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)	Yousri Belgaroui	97¢	100¢	+$5	win
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Tofiq Musayev	96¢	100¢	+$5	win
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)	Lerone Murphy	74¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	86¢	100¢	+$5	win
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Gillian Robertson	99¢	100¢	$-4	loss
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)	Charles Oliveira	90¢	100¢	+$9	win
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)	Caio Borralho	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Raul Rosas Jr.	97¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 86% $-1,846 $58,116 vol · 85 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$15	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	97¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	89¢	91¢	+$4	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	85¢	90¢	+$2	win
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	71¢	86¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	62¢	70¢	$-7	loss
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	94¢	80¢	$-26	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	67¢	30¢	$-18	loss