Win rate
83.9%
270 W / 52 L
Total PnL
$-323
realized $-2,136 · unrealized $1,813
Portfolio
$1,813
volume $130,426
Predictions
725
22.6/day · avg $180
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 58% +$215
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | win |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-176 | loss |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$536 | win |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | win |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | loss |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Celtics | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
Weather 81% +$62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 16? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 16? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 15? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 14? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 14? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 14? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on March 13? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 13? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Politics 50% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$10 | win |
Geopolitics 80% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 6¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 75% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 62¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Denmark Democrats win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Other 65% $-130
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 68¢ | 40¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 49¢ | 60¢ | +$18 | win |
| Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 15¢ | 55¢ | +$122 | win |
| Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | No | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | Yes | 16¢ | 6¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 82¢ | 98¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Mentions 56% $-268
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Crypto 91% $-521
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Up | 94¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | Down | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Up | 94.0¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 82.4¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | $953 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | Down | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | Up | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 43.5¢ | 0¢ | $-176 | $176 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 45.5¢ | 100¢ | +$536 | $1,020 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $149 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 14? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $145 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | Down | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 65.6¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | $543 | 14/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 43.6¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | $154 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? | Yes | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 13? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 57.9¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $190 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | No | 63.3¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $145 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Celtics | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $515 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12? | No | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $156 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $41 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12? | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $147 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 12? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $67 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 12? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 12? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12? | Yes | 34.9¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 46.6¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12? | No | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $37 | 12/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 68.5¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | $1,410 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $49 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 11/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $1,598 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | Yes | 85.4¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $278 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 10? | Yes | 84.7¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $123 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | Down | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $143 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $148 | 10/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | Down | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $145 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | Down | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $144 | 10/04/2026 |