Win rate
58.2%
78 W / 56 L
Total PnL
$1,262
realized $-2,115 · unrealized $3,377
Portfolio
$3,377
volume $169,764
Predictions
219
3.6/day · avg $775
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 75% +$1,509
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card) | Green | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | Pelicans | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Martinez | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Knicks vs. Bucks | Knicks | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card) | Pereira | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$652 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Spivac | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$335 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims) | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Mentions 39% +$1,165
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | No | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$217 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Other 68% +$1,085
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 31¢ | 36¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 12¢ | 41¢ | +$683 | win |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 34¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of March? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 100% +$82
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 48¢ | 52¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Trump say "Witkoff" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
Economy 80% +$70
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 45¢ | 56¢ | +$17 | win |
Crypto 50% +$45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | No | 75¢ | 72¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12AM ET | Up | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $85 on April 3? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $80 on April 1? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Down | 17¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | win |
| Will Bitmine announce an Ethereum purchase Feb 24 - March 2? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 February 23-March 1? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $70 February 23-March 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 23-March 1? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | +$6 | win |
Tech 67% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 20? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on February 20? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 0% $-45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
Finance 60% $-66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frech | Magdalena Frech | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Culture 0% $-654
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-201 | loss |
| Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-448 | loss |
Geopolitics 62% $-2,032
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-782 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 65¢ | 28¢ | $-229 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$134 | win |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$163 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $218 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12AM ET | Up | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | $325 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frech | Magdalena Frech | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 93.1¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $39 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $85 on April 3? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 52.2¢ | 100¢ | +$275 | $323 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $64 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | $248 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $90 on April 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-23 | $1,453 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 on April 1? | No | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $83 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | No | 16.0¢ | 100¢ | +$217 | $41 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 45.5¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $108 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | No | 66.6¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$163 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $329 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $62 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | 64.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | No | 77.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $31 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of March? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $98 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Down | 17.1¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | $35 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $21 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 7.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $27 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $90 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bitmine announce an Ethereum purchase Feb 24 - March 2? | Yes | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $28 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 February 23-March 1? | No | 63.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $69 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 February 23-March 1? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $89 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 February 23-March 1? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 23-March 1? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $30 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $26 | 02/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card) | Green | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | $40 | 01/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | Pelicans | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $51 | 01/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Martinez | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $40 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $320 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $70 | 28/02/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Bucks | Knicks | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $70 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 24, 2026? | No | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $110 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 23, 2026? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $108 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28? | No | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 28/02/2026 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 | Under | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $693 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,000 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 23 above $5.50? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 27/02/2026 |