Win rate
81.8%
171 W / 38 L
Total PnL
$-338
realized $-1,712 · unrealized $1,374
Portfolio
$1,374
volume $12,412
Predictions
399
15.4/day · avg $31
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Other 25% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 11¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 89¢ | +$20 | win |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | Yes | 38¢ | 36¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | Yes | 34¢ | 35¢ | $-3 | loss |
Elections 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 41¢ | 52¢ | $-7 | loss |
Crypto 81% $-96
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Up | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Down | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Up | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Up | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Up | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Down | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | Down | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Down | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Weather 97% $-102
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on April 8? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 5°C or below on April 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or higher on April 8? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 8? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on April 8? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on April 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on April 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 91% $-172
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Anaconda" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Will "Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "The Predator of Seville: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $36 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Down | 69.9¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Up | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Up | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Up | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $32 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Down | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $28 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | Down | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Down | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Down | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Down | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Down | 63.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Up | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Up | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Up | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Up | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Down | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Up | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Down | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Down | 78.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | Down | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Up | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Down | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $28 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | Down | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $27 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Up | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Up | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Down | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Down | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $27 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Down | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Down | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Down | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Down | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Up | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Up | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $35 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Down | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Down | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Down | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Up | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Down | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |