PhongLeXBT

Finance 45% +$544 $5,897 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15?	Down	14¢	0¢	$-334	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?	Down	63¢	100¢	+$4	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?	Up	67¢	100¢	+$43	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?	Up	37¢	0¢	$-266	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?	Down	34¢	0¢	+$1,342	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 20?	Up	1¢	0¢	$-29	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?	Down	15¢	0¢	$-153	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?	Down	66¢	100¢	+$322	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?	Up	1¢	0¢	$-409	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27?	Up	2¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Elections 25% +$6 $442 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?	Yes	24¢	100¢	+$307	win
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-209	loss

Geopolitics 53% $-245 $4,872 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	44¢	0¢	+$37	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	60¢	42¢	+$0	—
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	17¢	42¢	+$10	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	16¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$220	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$75	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-1,129	loss
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)	Joe Pyfer	44¢	100¢	+$255	win
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	Yes	12¢	100¢	+$707	win
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	19¢	100¢	+$233	win

Economy 25% $-278 $767 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	47¢	6¢	$-9	loss
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-159	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$36	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-145	loss

Politics 20% $-1,069 $4,235 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-153	loss
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	30¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-119	loss
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	31¢	14¢	$-62	loss
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	61¢	100¢	+$113	win
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-62	loss

Sports 33% $-1,721 $7,927 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	15¢	15¢	+$570	win
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Carlos Ulberg	50¢	100¢	+$200	win
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	54¢	0¢	$-296	loss
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)	Charles Oliveira	36¢	100¢	+$438	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in January?	No	15¢	0¢	$-1,571	loss
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Yadong	35¢	0¢	$-345	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-141	loss
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?	Paul	16¢	0¢	$-139	loss
Boxing - Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis	Paul	44¢	50¢	+$67	win
Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 Rounds	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-102	loss

Tech 17% $-4,190 $7,634 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-47	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	16¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-852	loss
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-421	loss

Crypto 39% $-9,639 $227,669 vol · 637 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	No	4¢	1¢	$-92	loss
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?	No	1¢	1¢	$-4	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 18?	No	1¢	1¢	$-3	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8?	No	3¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	No	19¢	0¢	+$45	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 22?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 22?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22?	Up	42¢	0¢	$-257	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-284	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21?	Down	11¢	0¢	$-115	loss

Other 34% $-33,696 $109,241 vol · 87 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	21¢	16¢	+$7	win
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	23¢	8¢	$-140	loss
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	67¢	88¢	+$44	win
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	24¢	4¢	+$127	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	7¢	0¢	$-178	loss
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?	Yes	6¢	18¢	+$101	win
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	44¢	3¢	$-940	loss
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?	No	29¢	0¢	$-2,160	loss
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 1?	Down	62¢	100¢	+$31	win