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0xe94a640cDF4bdA5b07Cb269F96413115102e0ff1-1767953083364
0xe94a640cdf4bda5b07cb269f96413115102e0ff1 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
46.4%
109 W / 126 L
Total PnL
$238
realized $-305 · unrealized $543
Portfolio
$543
volume $305,553
Predictions
737
11.4/day · avg $415
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 47% +$547
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | 94¢ | 93¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 34¢ | +$3 | win |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 65¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 36¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 62% +$113
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Wizards | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Spurs vs. Kings | Kings | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | Pacers | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoor | Andrey Rublev | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Lehecka | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Esports 80% +$84
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs | EYEBALLERS | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Tricked (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs | 9INE | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs | ShindeN | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla dip to $263 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 60% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 95¢ | 93¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 59¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40¢ | 38¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | No | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
Economy 0% $-33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Crypto 53% $-38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 35¢ | 50¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 44¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 14? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 14? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 13? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 13? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 28% $-154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 42¢ | 39¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 26¢ | 24¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Geopolitics 45% $-235
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 30¢ | 30¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 21¢ | 18¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 68¢ | 84¢ | $-6 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 20¢ | 20¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 46¢ | 16¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | No | 46¢ | 46¢ | $-4 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 19.2¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $46 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | No | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $43 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $48 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | Yes | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | $78 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 33.2¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $45 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla dip to $263 in March? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $44 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $26 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $42 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | No | 18.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $135 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $48 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $105 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | No | 43.2¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | $45 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 65.8¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $43 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | $138 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $142 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 79.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31? | Yes | 57.4¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $33 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | 80.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $33 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28? | No | 82.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $107 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $281 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $36 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31? | Yes | 44.5¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | Yes | 32.6¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $125 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $74 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $102 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31? | Yes | 74.3¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? | No | 37.5¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $48 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Yes | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31? | No | 57.9¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $58 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 15.3¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $94 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $31 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | Yes | 22.6¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |