Win rate
57.4%
345 W / 256 L
Total PnL
$639
realized $-1,603 · unrealized $2,242
Portfolio
$2,242
volume $162,774
Predictions
1,120
4.1/day · avg $145
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 59% +$1,376
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 56¢ | 60¢ | +$5 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 74¢ | 60¢ | $-15 | loss |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 95¢ | 93¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | No | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Crypto 61% +$252
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Up | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | Down | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Down | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | Down | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Up | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | Up | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Finance 57% +$244
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nike say "Skims / NikeSKIMS" during earnings call? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Snowflake say "Europe" during earnings call? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Dell say "China" during earnings call? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Celsius say "PepsiCo" during earnings call? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Anna Bondar | Bondar | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Hanyu Guo | Guo | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
Esports 52% +$120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) | Liquid | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) | NIP | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5 | Over | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5 | Under | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) | Team Yandex | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) | Team Spirit | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) | Xtreme Gaming | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) | Team Spirit | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) | PARIVISION | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) | Xtreme Gaming | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
Mentions 50% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Tech 50% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call? | No | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Weather 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Iowa State Cyclones | 39¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
Economy 50% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas vs. Mississippi State | Texas | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Texas vs. Mississippi State | Mississippi State | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
Culture 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Geopolitics 60% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ottawa Senators advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? | No | 60¢ | 74¢ | +$28 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 71% $-109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
Elections 9% $-212
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 58% $-523
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Thiago Moises | 42¢ | 22¢ | $-14 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Gauge Young | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$3 | win |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Azamat Murzakanov | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Raul Rosas Jr. | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | 49ers | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Alejandro Tabilo vs Luca Van Assche | Tabilo | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Michael Mmoh | Garin | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Thiago Moises | 42.2¢ | 22¢ | $-14 | $30 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Gauge Young | 70.2¢ | 78¢ | +$3 | $32 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Azamat Murzakanov | 54.9¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 63.2¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $59 | 12/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 28.8¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $29 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 77.7¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $256 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | Yes | 83.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $67 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $58 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | No | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $46 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $41 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Up | 61.3¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $24 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Raul Rosas Jr. | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $94 | 08/03/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 71.5¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 31/01/2026 |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | 49ers | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 18/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) | Liquid | 45.1¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $77 | 15/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) | NIP | 55.6¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 15/01/2026 |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Alejandro Tabilo vs Luca Van Assche | Tabilo | 63.8¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $24 | 11/01/2026 |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Michael Mmoh | Garin | 70.2¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 11/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | Down | 37.3¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | $142 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 60.2¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $114 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Down | 33.5¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $47 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 56.8¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $57 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 63.7¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $38 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | Down | 91.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $109 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Up | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | Up | 31.3¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $28 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 79.9¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $120 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | Down | 27.2¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $49 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Down | 36.3¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $87 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Up | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $56 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | Down | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $21 | 09/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Up | 72.1¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $94 | 08/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | Down | 71.1¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $57 | 08/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | Up | 70.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $28 | 08/01/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 78.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $31 | 08/01/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Thunder | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $32 | 08/01/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5 | Over | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $44 | 08/01/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Trail Blazers | Rockets | 34.8¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 08/01/2026 |
| BC Dubai vs. Fenerbahce | Fenerbahce | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $106 | 08/01/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5 | Under | 52.9¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | $222 | 08/01/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics | Celtics | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-296 | $296 | 08/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | Down | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $58 | 08/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 41.1¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $49 | 07/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 32.1¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $32 | 07/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 51.3¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $46 | 07/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | Up | 62.9¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $60 | 07/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | Down | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $73 | 07/01/2026 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $28 | 07/01/2026 |