Win rate
62.3%
38 W / 23 L
Total PnL
$-1,004
realized $-8,871 · unrealized $7,867
Portfolio
$7,867
volume $215,818
Predictions
58
1.0/day · avg $3,721
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 65% +$2,591
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 78¢ | 84¢ | $-55 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$51 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$55 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-1,487 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-6 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 58¢ | $-260 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-529 | loss |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
Sports 80% +$1,249
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-1,369 | loss |
| Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$1,677 | win |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship? | Yes | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$888 | win |
Tech 70% +$331
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 13 above $420? | Yes | 46¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | win |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on April 15? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 15? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on April 14? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$347 | win |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on February 12? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | loss |
Finance 100% +$87
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | win |
Crypto 0% $-660
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-660 | loss |
Esports 0% $-698
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-698 | loss |
Other 50% $-4,008
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-15 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | +$515 | win |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | loss |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| Nothing Ever Happens: June | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | $-327 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,300 | $10,539 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 34.1¢ | 0¢ | +$515 | $1,087 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | $450 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | $1,800 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 13 above $420? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $230 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 56.6¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | $226 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 18.4¢ | 0¢ | $-2,104 | $2,107 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 13 above $410? | Yes | 78.2¢ | 98¢ | +$385 | $1,485 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 13 above $400? | Yes | 81.7¢ | 98¢ | +$168 | $824 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 13 above $420? | Yes | 91.5¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | $723 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $247 | 16/04/2026 |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $102 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on April 15? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $2,576 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 15? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $61 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15? | Yes | 44.8¢ | 0¢ | $-497 | $497 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on April 14? | Yes | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$347 | $3,222 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? | No | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-529 | $529 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on February 12? | Yes | 26.1¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $154 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $3,998 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $375 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | Yes | 17.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,369 | $1,368 | 09/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-660 | $667 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? | No | 35.2¢ | 100¢ | +$255 | $654 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026? | No | 70.5¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $250 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $2,420 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026? | No | 66.7¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $1,802 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $791 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,427 | $3,808 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15? | No | 73.3¢ | 100¢ | +$840 | $2,898 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31? | No | 32.3¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | $94 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31? | No | 75.5¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $264 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28? | No | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $-2,728 | $2,728 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31? | No | 60.9¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 31/12/2025 |
| Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships? | Yes | 35.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,677 | $909 | 30/12/2025 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship? | Yes | 34.3¢ | 100¢ | +$888 | $464 | 30/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $200 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? | No | 48.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,231 | $1,230 | 31/08/2025 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? | Yes | 17.3¢ | 0¢ | $-698 | $698 | 03/08/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August? | No | 40.1¢ | 100¢ | $-301 | $800 | 01/08/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August? | No | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,446 | $1,464 | 01/08/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August? | No | 56.7¢ | 100¢ | +$829 | $1,100 | 31/07/2025 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament? | Yes | 45.3¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $220 | 06/07/2025 |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament? | Yes | 38.5¢ | 0¢ | $-3,698 | $3,697 | 06/07/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July? | No | 29.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4,580 | $1,964 | 30/06/2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: June | No | 57.1¢ | 100¢ | $-327 | $694 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? | No | 52.8¢ | 100¢ | +$438 | $502 | 31/03/2025 |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30? | No | 47.8¢ | 100¢ | +$959 | $940 | 28/02/2025 |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31? | No | 67.5¢ | 100¢ | +$880 | $1,899 | 28/02/2025 |