Win rate
24.4%
19 W / 59 L
Total PnL
$-1,836
realized $-3,008 · unrealized $1,172
Portfolio
$1,172
volume $199,553
Predictions
90
1.9/day · avg $2,217
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 16% +$572
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bulls vs. Kings | Bulls | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Utah vs. Blue Jackets | Utah | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Warriors | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$281 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Kraken | Kraken | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | win |
| Kraken vs. Ducks | Ducks | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 80% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 83% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 0% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 30% $-74
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $413 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $102 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $115 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,330 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $72 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $71 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Kings | Bulls | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $116 | 09/03/2026 |
| Utah vs. Blue Jackets | Utah | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $74 | 08/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $112 | 07/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Warriors | 24.0¢ | 100¢ | +$281 | $89 | 06/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Kraken | Kraken | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $118 | 03/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 98.8¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $40 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 06/02/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Ducks | Ducks | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | $182 | 04/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $33 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,052 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,150 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,245 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,362 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,651 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,865 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,130 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $39 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,349 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,751 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,618 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,173 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,214 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,382 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,415 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,441 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,572 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,674 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,838 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,034 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,082 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $2,484 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,458 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | $5,328 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $6,499 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,864 | 04/10/2026 |