Altcom

Geopolitics 50% +$2,649 $52,134 vol · 152 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	45¢	30¢	+$85	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	29¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	12¢	9¢	+$19	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	38¢	16¢	$-2	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	34¢	22¢	$-236	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	68¢	78¢	+$234	win
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	19¢	50¢	+$1	win
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	47¢	82¢	+$156	win
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	No	72¢	96¢	+$23	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-98	loss

Politics 56% +$1,897 $20,515 vol · 189 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24¢	28¢	+$1	win
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	61¢	61¢	$-1	loss
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	21¢	21¢	$-6	loss
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	57¢	57¢	+$14	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	40¢	16¢	+$14	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	39¢	0¢	+$0	—
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	18¢	52¢	+$10	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	11¢	5¢	$-44	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	79¢	99¢	+$162	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$4	win

Other 60% +$1,259 $18,830 vol · 116 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	35¢	40¢	+$20	win
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Yes	24¢	22¢	$-30	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	60¢	34¢	$-617	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	74¢	50¢	$-197	loss
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	66¢	44¢	+$24	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	87¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	21¢	1¢	$-43	loss
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	47¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$72	win

Tech 75% +$11 $133 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI social app in 2025?	Yes	24¢	100¢	+$3	win
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 38% $-6 $369 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	47¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Powell say "Inflation" 25+ times during speech on October 14?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Boxing: Will Usyk win by KO/TKO/DQ?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$82	win
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2	Dubois	22¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will Kamala say "inflation" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-15	loss
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili	Dvalishvili	51¢	100¢	+$23	win
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili	O’Malley	55¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Annual inflation above 2.5% in August?	Yes	51¢	0¢	+$3	win

Elections 43% $-19 $4,751 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10¢	10¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	86¢	84¢	$-15	loss
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	87¢	84¢	$-26	loss
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	32¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$35	win
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$44	win
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$2	win

Economy 50% $-27 $391 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	Yes	63¢	0¢	+$0	—
Successful Houthi attack on shipping by October 15?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 15+ times during speech on October 14?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$12	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$0	—
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?	No	91¢	100¢	$-41	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Weather 0% $-34 $76 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-34	loss

Esports 22% $-705 $1,115 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A	1win	55¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	PARIVISION	52¢	0¢	$-138	loss
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	Team Spirit	65¢	0¢	$-224	loss
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	Team Yandex	55¢	100¢	+$45	win
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	Aurora	49¢	0¢	$-201	loss
Will Gaimin Gladiators win The International 2024?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 56% $-913 $16,692 vol · 183 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	59¢	100¢	+$49	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	67¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	43¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	51¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	56¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	56¢	100¢	+$79	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	46¢	100¢	+$70	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	55¢	100¢	+$49	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	69¢	100¢	+$49	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	62¢	100¢	+$37	win