f3ita

Elections 36% $-38 $4,621 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$3	win
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	82¢	83¢	+$5	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	83¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	47¢	46¢	$-7	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	50¢	55¢	$-4	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	74¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Politics 67% $-63 $3,212 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10¢	9¢	$-9	loss
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	90¢	91¢	$-1	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	18¢	16¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	10¢	7¢	$-105	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	82¢	84¢	+$7	win
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$4	win

Sports 33% $-289 $2,215 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand	India	89¢	100¢	$-17	loss
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	South Africa	61¢	0¢	$-274	loss
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)	India	79¢	100¢	+$2	win

Other 7% $-604 $19,121 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	85¢	80¢	$-8	loss
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	91¢	93¢	$-3	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	90¢	82¢	$-17	loss
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	7¢	7¢	$-5	loss
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	77¢	76¢	$-1	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	18¢	18¢	$-315	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	49¢	48¢	$-0	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	52¢	52¢	$-69	loss
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	89¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	77¢	99¢	$-15	loss

Crypto 33% $-745 $4,268 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	51¢	51¢	$-35	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	91¢	97¢	+$9	win
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-719	loss

Geopolitics 35% $-915 $14,428 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	10¢	9¢	$-21	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	42¢	30¢	$-61	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	27¢	100¢	$-30	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	10¢	6¢	$-37	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	6¢	4¢	$-9	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	6¢	3¢	$-87	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	93¢	97¢	+$6	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	36¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	93¢	99¢	+$9	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	7¢	1¢	$-250	loss

Economy 29% $-2,743 $3,550 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-92	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-1,115	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	1¢	0¢	$-890	loss