Huludubu

Geopolitics 68% +$98,308 $3,636,279 vol · 796 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	79¢	84¢	+$118	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-273	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	68¢	72¢	+$7,576	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	99¢	100¢	+$607	win
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	56¢	100¢	+$1,097	win
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	99¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$738	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	98¢	100¢	+$719	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	97¢	100¢	+$194	win

Other 66% +$62,904 $1,221,019 vol · 418 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	46¢	78¢	+$141	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	No	83¢	96¢	$-130	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	No	54¢	64¢	+$10	win
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$109	win
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	60¢	100¢	+$169	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1,107	win
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$630	win
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	31¢	26¢	+$366	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$322	win

Politics 73% +$22,339 $357,971 vol · 172 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7¢	22¢	+$12	win
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-144	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	59¢	84¢	+$107	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	80¢	93¢	+$45	win
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$93	win
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	92¢	90¢	$-46	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 12, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	51¢	60¢	$-1,039	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	86¢	62¢	$-414	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	18¢	10¢	$-32	loss

Crypto 70% +$7,236 $63,207 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	80¢	12¢	$-169	loss
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?	No	50¢	85¢	+$57	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	93¢	98¢	+$377	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?	No	76¢	100¢	+$278	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	88¢	0¢	$-590	loss
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	No	88¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-150	loss
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	87¢	0¢	$-506	loss

Mentions 71% +$1,707 $15,251 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 31?	No	62¢	100¢	+$361	win
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$62	win
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?	No	52¢	0¢	$-118	loss
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 12, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 11, 2026?	No	25¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?	Yes	14¢	100¢	+$668	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$146	win
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30?	No	50¢	0¢	$-125	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-297	loss
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$91	win

Tech 63% +$1,607 $26,315 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	77¢	70¢	$-197	loss
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	No	81¢	96¢	+$3	win
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?	No	14¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$488	win
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	No	51¢	100¢	+$161	win
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	No	83¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	91¢	0¢	$-1,676	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	58¢	100¢	+$1,215	win
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	62¢	0¢	$-1,783	loss

Finance 83% +$479 $3,510 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$15	win
NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday?	No	23¢	100¢	+$398	win
Will NYSE be fully closed Monday?	No	99¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the NYSE trading floor be closed on Monday?	No	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Marriott International (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	12¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	53¢	100¢	+$83	win

Sports 58% +$239 $31,502 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gus Kenworthy (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	89¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Taiga Hasegawa (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Marcus Kleveland (NOR) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-1,050	loss
Will Brian Armstrong say "Tokenized Equity" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?	No	11¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$1,320	win
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?	No	97¢	100¢	+$56	win

Weather 73% $-351 $26,605 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Miami Hurricanes	25¢	0¢	$-178	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 19?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 19?	No	93¢	0¢	$-103	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 19?	No	92¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 19?	No	80¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 18?	No	98¢	0¢	$-233	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on March 18?	No	95¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 18?	No	57¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 18?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 18?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Economy 0% $-418 $441 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-320	loss

Culture 60% $-614 $15,034 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Project Hail Mary" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	No	47¢	0¢	$-275	loss
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	48¢	0¢	$-478	loss
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-954	loss
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)	No	80¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)	No	86¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 2.5m?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 2.5m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	12¢	100¢	+$881	win

Esports 57% $-1,083 $26,404 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Spirit	41¢	65¢	+$599	win
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	56¢	100¢	+$440	win
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner	G2	70¢	100¢	+$450	win
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Spirit	68¢	100¢	+$320	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	B8	36¢	0¢	$-265	loss
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	3DMAX	48¢	100¢	+$520	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Vitality	91¢	100¢	+$180	win
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Spirit	47¢	0¢	$-940	loss
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Gentle Mates	68¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	G2	51¢	100¢	+$514	win

Elections 57% $-2,210 $32,631 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	55¢	90¢	+$48	win
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?	No	85¢	100¢	+$661	win
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?	No	72¢	100¢	+$69	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$1,340	win
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-499	loss
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$-0	—
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	89¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	77¢	0¢	$-1,523	loss