Win rate
84.3%
253 W / 47 L
Total PnL
$-4,881
realized $-5,693 · unrealized $812
Portfolio
$812
volume $288,858
Predictions
1,657
18.9/day · avg $174
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Finance 100% +$54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 12? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 11? | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Robinhood say "Billion" 10+ times during earnings call? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 93% +$37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 27, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" this week? (February 15) | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 13, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by February 13, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10) | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10) | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10) | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10) | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Economy 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 96% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs | LOS | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Mack Hollins: First Touchdown | No Touchdown | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Big Game: Octopus? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 75% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win 60 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 15) | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Islami Andolan Bangladesh finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during meeting with Netanyahu? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Esports 75% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: PRIME vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group C | HyperSpirit | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals | LNG Esports | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs | Nigma Galaxy | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In | Team Liquid | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Mentions 81% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
Tech 90% $-52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $410-$415 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20? | No | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 12? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on February 12? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on February 12? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 81% $-104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on February 26? | No | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 26? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 26? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 26? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 25? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 24? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 23? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 21? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 21? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
Other 91% $-305
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 85¢ | 94¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.70–2.80 in February? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union have between 39M and 41M viewers? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 24 be between 2,300,000 and 2,500,000? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 22 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 15 be greater than 2,300,000? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Weather 78% $-4,391
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19? | No | 69¢ | 48¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 18? | No | 36¢ | 10¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18? | No | 47¢ | 22¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or higher on April 18? | No | 67¢ | 92¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18? | No | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 18? | No | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 53¢ | 59¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 14? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 13? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 52.5¢ | 59¢ | $-2 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 14? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 13? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 12? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $34 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 12? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 12? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 12? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 12? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 11? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $41 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 10? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or below on April 8? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 7? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $39 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on March 22? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on March 22? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on March 22? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 22? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on March 22? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on March 22? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 22? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 22? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 19? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 18? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 18? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on March 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on March 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C or below on March 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 17? | No | 52.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $26 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on March 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on March 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C or below on March 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 16? | No | 59.4¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $30 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 16? | No | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $44 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 14? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $491 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 14? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 0¢ | $-2,005 | $2,447 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 13? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,846 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 12? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$131 | $878 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 12? | No | 88.4¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $892 | 12/03/2026 |